Sarajevo vs Inter Turku Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase Today - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Sarajevo Sarajevo
1 – 1
Inter Turku Inter Turku
Full Time Today 7:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Bartol Barisic - 90+4'
Goal
|
Goal
A. Conteh - 7'

CONTEXT

Sarajevo welcomed Inter Turku for the opening leg of their knockout tie. The match ended in a 1-1 draw after an eventful ninety minutes. Inter Turku struck first to lead 1-0 at halftime. Sarajevo held 68 percent possession but found themselves behind at the break. In the second half the hosts equalized to make the score 1-1. This outcome keeps the aggregate level for the second leg. The away side managed 32 percent possession and focused on counter attacks. No red cards were issued to either team during the game. Sarajevo as the stronger team could not overcome the visitors fully. The moderate structural deviation highlighted some unexpected elements in the performance levels.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Sarajevo 1-1 Inter Turku. Sarajevo showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency was in line with the overall performance metrics observed.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals alignment could not be determined due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was consistent with pre-match projections for the encounter.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals expectations remained unassessed without available metrics.
  • Event impact: The second half equalizer by the home side shifted the match dynamics significantly.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards ensured no distortion in team compositions or match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

F. Polychronis

Greece 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

L. Dimitriadis

1st Assistant

Greece

I. Minoudis

2nd Assistant

Greece

A. Tsakalidis

4th Official

Greece

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 13.04
Yellow cards / match 2.62
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.15
Sarajevo Z. Zekić
Z. Zekić
VS
Inter Turku V. Vasara
V. Vasara
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sarajevo
4.87%
Draw
90.72%
Away Inter Turku
4.41%

Movement

Changes since opening
Sarajevo
+3.93%
Draw
+83.45%
Inter Turku
-87.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sarajevo
Inter Turku
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sarajevo — Opponent-weighted form score
Inter Turku — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sarajevo Inter Turku

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sarajevo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Inter Turku

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sarajevo ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Inter Turku
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sarajevo Inter Turku
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sarajevo Inter Turku
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sarajevo
Inter Turku
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Sarajevo
vs
Inter Turku
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Sarajevo Inter Turku
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Sarajevo 0.00
Inter Turku 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Sarajevo Inter Turku
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Sarajevo 0.00
Inter Turku 0.00
Sarajevo
Inter Turku
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Inter Turku had peak pressure around 13'.
  • Inter Turku started the game with stronger pressure.
Sarajevo Pressure Inter Turku Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Inter Turku reached the top pressure at 13' (72.04).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sarajevo Sarajevo Home
0 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:06:30+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase
Capacity :
34500
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Fotis Polychronis
Lazaros Dimitriadis
Ioannis Minoudis
Alexandros Tsakalidis

Statistics

Possession
Sarajevo
62%
Inter Turku
38%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
6 Shots 1
117 Dangerous attacks 45
68 Possession 32
5 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

47 Ball Safe 56
2 Goal Attempts 2
5 Substitutions 4
25 Throwins 18
0 Assists 1

Attacking

173 Attacks 100

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 14

Squad

Referee : Fotis Polychronis

Squad ▼

31
Ivan Banić
Ivan Banić Goalkeeper
—
Emil Rockov
Emil Rockov Goalkeeper
40
Faris Mehić
Faris Mehić Goalkeeper
13
Sanin Mušija
Sanin Mušija Goalkeeper
3
Renato Gojković
Renato Gojković Defender
28
Slavko Bralić
Slavko Bralić Defender
33
Stefan Ristovski
Stefan Ristovski Defender
—
Grigore Ioan Turda
Grigore Ioan Turda Defender
27
Luka Hujber
Luka Hujber Defender
22
Amar Beganović
Amar Beganović Defender
—
Filip Jović
Filip Jović Defender
—
Martin Krasimirov Paskalev
Martin Krasimirov Paskalev Defender
77
Mihael Kuprešak
Mihael Kuprešak Defender
2
Shane Maroodza
Shane Maroodza Defender
—
Tarik Kapetanović
Tarik Kapetanović Defender
6
Jovan Ivanisevic
Jovan Ivanisevic Defender
4
Nermin Mujkić
Nermin Mujkić Defender
38
Souleymane Méité
Souleymane Méité Defender
59
Gojko Cimirot
Gojko Cimirot Midfielder
88
Adem Ljajić
Adem Ljajić Midfielder
—
Aleksandar Đorđević
Aleksandar Đorđević Midfielder
20
Agon Elezi
Agon Elezi Midfielder
66
Rafael Mamas
Rafael Mamas Midfielder
—
Edin Julardžija
Edin Julardžija Midfielder
—
Bakir Nurković
Bakir Nurković Midfielder
23
Anes Krdžalić
Anes Krdžalić Midfielder
—
Muamer Hamzić
Muamer Hamzić Midfielder
35
Sergej Ignatkov
Sergej Ignatkov Midfielder
—
Kenan Vrban
Kenan Vrban Midfielder
—
Momodou Jatta
Momodou Jatta Midfielder
5
Rijad Telalović
Rijad Telalović Midfielder
7
Luka Menalo
Luka Menalo Attacker
—
Karlo Butić
Karlo Butić Attacker
11
Francis Kyeremeh
Francis Kyeremeh Attacker
9
Aldin Turkes
Aldin Turkes Attacker
99
João Carlos Cardoso Santo
João Carlos Cardoso Santo Attacker
—
Renan Abner do Carmo de Oliveira
Renan Abner do Carmo de Oliveira Attacker
—
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker
—
Mihael Mlinarić
Mihael Mlinarić Attacker
—
Andreja Ristić
Andreja Ristić Attacker
24
Filip Živković
Filip Živković Attacker
—
Anomnachi Chinasa Chidi
Anomnachi Chinasa Chidi Attacker
—
Amar Cerić
Amar Cerić Attacker
Referee : Fotis Polychronis

Squad ▼

36
Ville Seppä
Ville Seppä Goalkeeper
1
Eetu Huuhtanen
Eetu Huuhtanen Goalkeeper
12
Eero Vuorjoki
Eero Vuorjoki Goalkeeper
5
Albin Granlund
Albin Granlund Defender
3
Juuso Hämäläinen
Juuso Hämäläinen Defender
24
Julius Tauriainen
Julius Tauriainen Defender
18
Seth Saarinen
Seth Saarinen Defender
2
Jussi Niska
Jussi Niska Defender
22
Luka Kuittinen
Luka Kuittinen Defender
20
Axel Sandler
Axel Sandler Defender
21
Ilari Kangasniemi
Ilari Kangasniemi Defender
19
Iiro Järvinen
Iiro Järvinen Midfielder
14
Janne-Pekka Laine
Janne-Pekka Laine Midfielder
4
Prosper Ahiabu
Prosper Ahiabu Midfielder
8
Johannes Yli-Kokko
Johannes Yli-Kokko Midfielder
17
Bismark Ampofo
Bismark Ampofo Midfielder
35
Eeli Kiiskilä
Eeli Kiiskilä Midfielder
9
Jasse Tuominen
Jasse Tuominen Attacker
11
Kouame Jean Fiacre Botue
Kouame Jean Fiacre Botue Attacker
25
Henri Salomaa
Henri Salomaa Attacker
26
Vilho Huovila
Vilho Huovila Attacker
23
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula
Antoin Loic Essomba Bikoula Attacker
27
Vincent Ulundu
Vincent Ulundu Attacker
10
Alie Conteh
Alie Conteh Attacker
16
Clinton Jephta
Clinton Jephta Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Bartol Barisic
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
90+4'
88'
Event
H. Salomaa → Clinton Jephta
9th Substitution
Event
Luka Hujber → Mihael Kupresak
8th Substitution
85'
83'
Event
Julius Tauriainen → Antoin Loic Essomba
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué → A. Conteh
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Iiro Järvinen → Jasse Tuominen
6th Substitution
Event
Joel Agyekum → Francis Kyeremeh
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Mihael Kupresak
2nd Yellowcard
63'
Event
Filip Kosi → Leo Mikic
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Souleymane Méité
1st Yellowcard
52'
Event
Bartol Barisic → Renato Gojkovic
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Souleymane Méité → Gojko Cimirot
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
7'
Event
A. Conteh
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Bartol Barisic scores, making it 1-1.
88
Update Update
Henri Salomaa comes on for Clinton Jephta.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Update Update
Luka Hujber replaces Mihael Kupresak.
83
Update Update
Julius Tauriainen comes on for Loic Essomba.
74
Update Update
Iiro Jarvinen replaces Jasse Tuominen.
74
Update Update
On Jean Botue, off Alie Conteh.
73
Update Update
Jonathan Agyekum is on, and Francis Kyeremeh is off.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
60
Update Update
Filip Kosi replaces Leo Mikic.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Suleiman Meite.
46
Update Update
Bartol Barisic replaces Renato Gojkovic.
46
Substitution Substitution
Suleiman Meite is substituted for Gojko Cimirot.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has taken place!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Sarajevo 1-1 Inter Turku. Structural assessment: Sarajevo exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Sarajevo vs Inter Turku preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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