Colombia vs Ghana Prediction, Preview and Stats

2026 World Cup, World
Kansas City Stadium Sat, 4 Jul - 1:30 AM
World Cup
Colombia COL
1 Winner 0
Ghana GHA
Full Time Sat, 4 Jul 1:30 AM
Round of 32
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Colombia defeated Ghana 1-0 with the halftime score also standing at 1-0. The stronger side controlled 61 percent of possession and generated an expected goals total of 2.05 against Ghana's 0.27 for a differential of 1.78. No red cards were issued to either side and the outcome remained consistent with the underlying performance data. A significant deviation of 33.3 percent was recorded for Colombia relative to pre-match indicators. The efficiency shift stayed in line with the expected pattern throughout the contest. Market alignment held true as the result matched the projected direction for the favored team. The match proceeded without second-half adjustments or disciplinary distortions that could have altered the flow.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Colombia 1-0 Ghana. Colombia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expected performance levels for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Outcome consistency with xG held as Colombia posted 2.05 against Ghana's 0.27.
  • Market alignment: The final result stayed aligned with market expectations for the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations produced a clear differential of 1.78 in favor of Colombia.
  • Event impact: No disruptive events altered the match trajectory beyond standard play.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards for either team produced no distortion in the final outcome.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Turpin

France 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

N. Danos

1st Assistant

France

B. Pages

2nd Assistant

France

A. Hernández Hernández

4th Official

Spain

League averages

World Cup Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.69
Yellow cards / match 2.27
Red cards / match 0.12
Penalties / match 0.14
Colombia N. Lorenzo
N. Lorenzo
VS
Ghana C. Brito Leal Queiróz
C. Brito Leal Queiróz
2.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Portugal Rank: D
Congo DR Rank: W
Uzbekistan Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Croatia Rank: L
England Rank: D
Panama Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Colombia
66.73%
Draw
22.75%
Away Ghana
10.52%

Movement

Changes since opening
Colombia
-29.38%
Draw
+19.05%
Ghana
+10.33%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
31.97
12.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Colombia
Ghana
Power Score
31.97
12.84
League Position
1
3
Global Rank
13
74

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Colombia Opponent-weighted form score
Ghana Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Colombia Ghana

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Colombia

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Ghana

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Colombia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Ghana
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.49
24.23
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.23
35.49
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Colombia +1.01 Efficiency Index
vs
Ghana -1.01 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Colombia
Ghana
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Colombia
vs
Ghana
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Colombia Ghana
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
11%
17%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.22 vs -0.05
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Colombia Ghana
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
17%
11%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.05 vs -0.22
Colombia
Ghana
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Colombia
vs
Ghana
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Colombia Ghana
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Colombia Ghana
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Colombia
Ghana
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COL had peak pressure around 17'.
  • GHA started the game with stronger pressure.
COL Pressure GHA Pressure
Pressure Index: COL reached the top pressure at 17' (76.72).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Colombia COL Home
0 matches
Ghana GHA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-05T00:00:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 04, 2026, 01:30 AM
Competition :
2026 World Cup, World · Round of 32
Stadium :
Kansas City Stadium
Capacity :
76416
Attendance :
69045
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Clément Turpin
Nicolas Danos
Benjamin Pages
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Statistics

Possession
COL
59%
GHA
41%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 0
8 Shots 3
33 Dangerous attacks 29
61 Possession 39
3 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

75 Ball Safe 61
9 Goal Kicks 12
16 Goal Attempts 3
4 Substitutions 5
15 Throwins 16
7 Successful Headers 5
1 Assists 0
1 Injuries 1
12 Dribble Attempts 11
5 Successful Dribbles 6
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55

Attacking

85 Attacks 76
4 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

55 Long Passes 46
586 Passes 376
532 Successful Passes 312
91 Successful Passes Percentage 83
15 Key Passes 5
32 Successful Long Passes 9
58 Successful Long Passes Percentage 20

Defensive

0 Saves 7
12 Tackles 13
5 Interceptions 5
35 Duels Won 37

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 15
5 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI

12
Camilo Vargas
Camilo Vargas Goalkeeper
6.74
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Defender
7.48
3
Jhon Lucumí
Jhon Lucumí Defender
7.25
17
Johan Mojica
Johan Mojica Defender
7.01
23
Davinson Sánchez
7.67
11
Jhon Arias
Jhon Arias Midfielder
7.8
20
Juan Fernando Quintero
7.8
14
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
7.46
16
Jefferson Lerma
Jefferson Lerma Midfielder
6.79
7
Luis Díaz
Luis Díaz Attacker
6.43
21
Jáminton Campaz
Jáminton Campaz
Midfielder90'
6.93
9
Jhon Córdoba
Jhon Córdoba Attacker
6.41
25
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez
Attacker8'
7.1
10
James Rodríguez
6.62
6
Richard Ríos
Richard Ríos
Midfielder46'
6.68
Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI

1
Lawrence Ati Zigi
Lawrence Ati Zigi Goalkeeper
7.71
14
Gideon Mensah
Gideon Mensah Defender
6.87
18
Jerome Opoku
Jerome Opoku Defender
6.44
23
Derrick Luckassen
6.65
26
Marvin Senaya
Marvin Senaya Defender
6.69
2
Alidu Seidu
Alidu Seidu
Defender13'
6.69
3
Caleb Yirenkyi
Caleb Yirenkyi Midfielder
6.19
25
Prince Adu
Prince Adu
Attacker79'
6.49
5
Thomas Partey
Thomas Partey Midfielder
6.89
8
Kwasi Sibo
Kwasi Sibo Midfielder
6.24
15
Elisha Owusu
Elisha Owusu
Midfielder62'
6.68
11
Antoine Semenyo
Antoine Semenyo Midfielder
6.62
19
Iñaki Williams
Iñaki Williams Midfielder
6.56
7
Issahaku Fatawu
Issahaku Fatawu
Attacker62'
6.41
9
Jordan Ayew
Jordan Ayew (C) Attacker
6.58
24
Ernest Nuamah
Ernest Nuamah
Attacker79'
6.78

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jáminton Campaz Luis Díaz
9th Substitution
90'
79'
Event
Prince Adu Caleb Yirenkyi
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Ernest Nuamah Jordan Ayew
8th Substitution
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
78'
76'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Juan Fernando Quintero Jhon Arias
6th Substitution
73'
66'
Event
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
62'
Event
Issahaku Fatawu Iñaki Williams
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Elisha Owusu Kwasi Sibo
5th Substitution
Event
Offside / Goal Disallowed
56'
49'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Richard Ríos James Rodríguez
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
14'
13'
Event
Alidu Seidu Marvin Senaya
2nd Substitution
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
12'
Event
Luis Suárez Jhon Córdoba
1st Substitution
8'

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Colombia: Jaminton Campaz comes on for Luis Díaz.
90
Update Update
Richard Ríos from Colombia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Ernest Nuamah commits a foul for Ghana.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Richard Ríos from Colombia.
90
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Gideon Mensah from Ghana.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Richard Ríos of Colombia heads the ball from very close range but it goes to the left. The assist was provided by Juan Fernando Quintero with a cross.
90
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
90
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Jaminton Campaz (Colombia) had a left-footed shot from a tough angle on the left that was close but missed the top left corner. He was assisted by Juan Fernando Quintero.
90
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Puerta's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Luis Suárez from Colombia has his right-footed shot from the left side of the box blocked. The attempt was assisted by Jaminton Campaz.
90
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Richard Ríos from Colombia has a right-footed shot from long range on the right, but it's saved in the bottom right corner by Lawrence Ati Zigi from Ghana. The assist comes from Juan Fernando Quintero.
90
Update Update
Gustavo Puerta commits a foul for Colombia.
90
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu from Ghana is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Jaminton Campaz of Colombia had a left-footed shot from a tough angle and long range on the left, which was saved in the top left corner by Lawrence Ati Zigi of Ghana. The shot was assisted by Jhon Lucumí with a headed pass.
90
Update Update
Davinson Sánchez from Colombia wins a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Ernest Nuamah of Ghana.
87
Update Update
Luis Díaz commits a foul for Colombia.
87
Update Update
Ernest Nuamah wins a free kick for Ghana in the defensive half.
87
Attempt Attempt
Luis Díaz's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Juan Fernando Quintero.
87
Update Update
Gustavo Puerta from Colombia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
87
Update Update
Antoine Semenyo commits a foul for Ghana.
85
Update Update
Foul by Luis Suárez of Colombia.
85
Update Update
Derrick Luckassen of Ghana wins a free kick in the defensive half.
84
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Juan Fernando Quintero (Colombia) had a left-footed shot from outside the box that was close but went to the right. He was assisted by Davinson Sánchez.
82
Update Update
Luis Díaz is caught offside for Colombia.
81
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Davinson Sánchez's header from the center of the box is saved by Lawrence Ati Zigi in the center of the goal. The assist came from Juan Fernando Quintero's cross.
80
Corner Corner
Colombia wins a corner after Derrick Luckassen concedes.
80
Attempt Attempt
Luis Díaz's right-footed shot from outside the box for Colombia is blocked.
79
Update Update
Davinson Sánchez from Colombia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
79
Update Update
Prince Adu from Ghana commits a foul.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ghana: Prince Adu comes on for Caleb Yirenkyi.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ghana: Ernest Nuamah comes on for Jordan Ayew.
78
Update Update
Foul committed by Richard Ríos of Colombia.
78
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu from Ghana wins a free kick in the defensive half.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Richard Ríos of Colombia receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
77
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Juan Fernando Quintero (Colombia) takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes too high from a direct free kick.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Alidu Seidu of Ghana receives a yellow card for a foul.
76
Update Update
Johan Mojica of Colombia is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
76
Update Update
Foul committed by Alidu Seidu of Ghana.
74
Update Update
Gustavo Puerta commits a foul for Colombia.
74
Update Update
Thomas Partey from Ghana wins a free kick in the defensive half.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Colombia: Juan Fernando Quintero comes on for Jhon Arias.
72
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
69
Update Update
The match is currently paused for a drinks break.
69
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Thomas Partey (Ghana) takes a right-footed shot from outside the box that is close, but goes to the left.
69
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Semenyo's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Elisha Owusu.
66
Update Update
Gustavo Puerta wins a free kick for Colombia in the defensive half.
66
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are set to continue.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abdul Fatawu of Ghana receives a yellow card.
66
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu commits a foul for Ghana.
65
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Abdul Fatawu from Ghana.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ghana: Elisha Owusu comes on for Kwasi Sibo due to an injury.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ghana: Abdul Fatawu comes on for Iñaki Williams.
61
Update Update
Foul committed by Richard Ríos of Colombia.
61
Update Update
Antoine Semenyo of Ghana wins a free kick in the defensive half.
60
Update Update
Richard Ríos from Colombia commits a foul.
60
Update Update
Jordan Ayew of Ghana wins a free kick in the attacking half.
59
Update Update
Luis Suárez (Colombia) is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Jerome Opoku of Ghana.
58
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Luis Díaz's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the center of the goal by Lawrence Ati Zigi. The assist came from Gustavo Puerta.
56
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Davinson Sánchez from Colombia takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes too high.
56
Update Update
Luis Díaz is caught offside for Colombia.
55
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Gustavo Puerta's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Lawrence Ati Zigi. The assist came from Luis Díaz.
55
Corner Corner
Colombia wins a corner after Derrick Luckassen concedes.
51
Update Update
Jefferson Lerma from Colombia wins a free kick in the defensive half.
51
Update Update
Caleb Yirenkyi from Ghana commits a foul.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Caleb Yirenkyi of Ghana receives a yellow card for a foul.
49
Update Update
Gustavo Puerta from Colombia is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
49
Update Update
Caleb Yirenkyi commits a foul for Ghana.
48
Update Update
Luis Suárez (Colombia) is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
48
Update Update
Derrick Luckassen from Ghana commits a foul.
48
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Richard Ríos (Colombia) has a right-footed shot from the right side of the box that goes to the left. He was assisted by Jhon Arias.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Colombia: Richard Ríos comes on for James Rodríguez.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Colombia 1, Ghana 0.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Davinson Sánchez of Colombia.
46
Update Update
Jordan Ayew from Ghana wins a free kick in the attacking half.
45
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Alidu Seidu from Ghana.
45
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Johan Mojica's header from close range for Colombia is saved in the bottom left corner by Lawrence Ati Zigi of Ghana. The assist came from Daniel Muñoz's cross.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Luis Suárez (Colombia).
45
Update Update
Jerome Opoku from Ghana wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Foul by Luis Suárez of Colombia.
45
Update Update
Kwasi Sibo from Ghana is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
44
Attempt Attempt
Iñaki Williams from Ghana has a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it is blocked.
44
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Semenyo's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Gideon Mensah provided the assist.
42
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Luis Suárez (Colombia) heads the ball from the center of the box but it goes to the right. Jefferson Lerma provided the cross.
40
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Iñaki Williams from Ghana takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes high and wide to the left. Antoine Semenyo provided the assist.
39
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Luis Díaz (Colombia) takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it goes close and misses to the left.
37
Update Update
Thomas Partey from Ghana wins a free kick in the defensive half.
37
Corner Corner
Ghana is awarded a corner after James Rodríguez concedes it.
35
Attempt Attempt
Iñaki Williams from Ghana has a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Caleb Yirenkyi.
35
Update Update
Foul by Luis Suárez of Colombia.
34
Corner Corner
Ghana is awarded a corner after Johan Mojica concedes.
33
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
27
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
24
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Lawrence Ati Zigi from Ghana saves a right-footed shot from outside the box by Luis Díaz of Colombia, which was assisted by Gustavo Puerta.
20
Update Update
Luis Díaz from Colombia misses a close-range header to the left, assisted by a cross from Luis Suárez.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Daniel Muñoz of Colombia.
20
Update Update
Antoine Semenyo from Ghana wins a free kick in the defensive half.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Colombia leads 1-0 against Ghana. Jhon Arias scores for Colombia with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
13
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Ghana: Alidu Seidu comes on for Marvin Senaya due to an injury.
13
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
12
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Marvin Senaya from Ghana.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jhon Arias from Colombia receives a yellow card for a foul.
12
Update Update
Foul committed by Jhon Arias of Colombia.
12
Update Update
Iñaki Williams from Ghana wins a free kick in the defensive half.
11
Corner Corner
Colombia wins a corner after Caleb Yirenkyi concedes.
10
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
9
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Marvin Senaya from Ghana.
8
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Colombia: Luis Suárez comes on for Jhon Córdoba due to an injury.
4
Update Update
Luis Javier Suarez Charris comes on for Jhon Cordoba.
4
Update Update
Antoine Semenyo from Ghana wins a free kick in the defensive half.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Clement Turpin.
1
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Partey takes a right-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Colombia completed a controlled 1-0 win over Ghana that reflected their superior expected goal creation and possession dominance. The first-half goal proved decisive as the visitors failed to generate meaningful chances throughout. With no red cards issued the contest maintained its structural integrity from start to finish. Performance metrics aligned closely with the observed result confirming the absence of major variances. Ghana remained limited in their attacking output and could not overcome the early deficit. The data showed steady efficiency from Colombia without requiring late adjustments. Overall the match delivered a straightforward outcome consistent with the pre-game assessment of team strength and underlying numbers.

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Dan A creates clear football match previews built around team form, performance trends, and practical pre-match insights.