Canada vs Morocco Prediction, Preview and Stats
World Cup
Morocco
MAR
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Canada hosted Morocco in an international fixture that concluded with a 0-3 victory for the away side. The first half ended goalless as both teams struggled to break the deadlock. In terms of expected goals, Canada held a slight edge with 0.81 to Morocco's 0.69, yet the actual scoreline told a different story. Morocco maintained 55 percent possession compared to Canada's 45 percent. No players were sent off during the match, allowing for a full complement of players on both teams. The result represented a significant deviation from anticipated outcomes, particularly benefiting Morocco. Efficiency metrics showed performance in line with overall trends despite the xG mismatch. This win solidified Morocco's status as the stronger team in the matchup. The second half proved decisive as the visitors netted all three goals to secure the points.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Canada 0-3 Morocco. Morocco showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency was in line with expectations for both teams.
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xG alignment: The outcome was not consistent with the xG figures.
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Market alignment: The result was aligned with pre-match market projections.
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xG expectations: Canada recorded 0.81 xG while Morocco had 0.69 xG.
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Event impact: The second half adjustments led to all three goals being scored after halftime.
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Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to distort the match proceedings.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
M. Oliver
Other match officials
S. Burt
1st Assistant
J. Mainwaring
2nd Assistant
D. Makkelie
4th Official
League averages
World Cup Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Canada
Morocco
Movement
Changes since opening
Canada
Morocco
Team Power Ranking
i
20.37
30.74
Canada
Morocco
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Canada
Morocco
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Canada
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- CAN had peak pressure around 20'.
- CAN started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-07-05T00:01:33+00:00
STARTING XI




























































General Information
Next Match


Morocco
vs
France
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Thu, 9 Jul - 8:00 PM
Venue: Boston Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼



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Manager ▼


Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼






Bench ▼




















Events
CONCLUSION
Canada vs Morocco preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.



























Match Commentary