Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction, Preview and Stats
World Cup
Morocco
MAR
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Netherlands and Morocco concluded with a 1-1 draw after a goalless first half. Netherlands managed 30 percent possession while Morocco held 70 percent. Expected goals stood at 0.39 for Netherlands and 0.82 for Morocco creating a differential of minus 0.43. The stronger team designation went to Netherlands yet the outcome remained a draw consistent with the xG data. No red cards were shown to either side. The deviation level registered as moderate at 8.1 percent with the deviation attributed to Netherlands. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with observed patterns throughout the contest.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Netherlands recorded only 30 percent possession against Morocco's 70 percent.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with the overall performance indicators.
-
xG alignment: The 1-1 draw proved consistent with the xG distribution of 0.39 to 0.82.
-
Market alignment: The final result aligned with pre-match market expectations.
-
xG expectations: Morocco generated higher xG yet could not convert the advantage into a win.
-
Event impact: Both goals occurred after halftime in a match that stayed level at 0-0.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to alter the match structure or dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
W. Pereira Sampaio
Other match officials
B. Pires
1st Assistant
B. Boschilia
2nd Assistant
C. Garay
4th Official
League averages
World Cup Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Netherlands
Morocco
Team Power Ranking
i
33.83
29.51
Netherlands
Morocco
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Netherlands
Morocco
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Netherlands
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- MAR had peak pressure around 24'.
- NED started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-07-01T00:00:24+00:00
STARTING XI










































































































































































General Information
Next Match


Morocco
vs
Canada
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Sat, 4 Jul - 5:00 PM
Venue: Houston Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


Manager ▼


Starting XI ▼








































Substitutes ▼


















Bench ▼




















Manager ▼


Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
Bench ▼




















Events
CONCLUSION
Netherlands vs Morocco preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.
Related Football Previews
Explore League Previews
Author
Dan A creates clear football match previews built around team form, performance trends, and practical pre-match insights.


















Match Commentary