Tunisia vs Netherlands Prediction, Preview and Stats
World Cup
Netherlands
NED
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Netherlands secured a 1-3 victory against Tunisia after leading 0-2 at halftime. The visitors dominated with 72 percent possession compared to the hosts 28 percent. Expected goals heavily favored Netherlands at 2.01 against Tunisia 0.54 creating a differential of minus 1.47. The stronger team delivered the win as the outcome remained consistent with underlying metrics. A significant deviation of 17.8 percent was recorded yet alignment held across key indicators. No red cards occurred to alter the flow allowing natural progression based on performance. The result reflected clear superiority from the away side throughout the match.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: The match showed a significant deviation of 17.8 percent favoring Netherlands.
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Efficiency shift: Performance efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections.
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xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the expected goals differential.
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Market alignment: Results aligned with market expectations throughout the contest.
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xG expectations: Netherlands posted an expected goals figure of 2.01 against Tunisia's 0.54.
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Event impact: Key events led to Netherlands securing a 1-3 victory on the day.
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Red card distortion: No red cards were issued affecting the match dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
K. Itzel García
Other match officials
S. Ramírez
1st Assistant
J. Naranjo Pérez
2nd Assistant
J. Benítez
4th Official
League averages
World Cup Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Tunisia
Netherlands
Movement
Changes since opening
Tunisia
Netherlands
Team Power Ranking
i
31.48
45.19
Tunisia
Netherlands
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Tunisia
Netherlands
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Tunisia
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- NED had peak pressure around 31'.
- NED started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-06-26T00:00:33+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Events
CONCLUSION
Tunisia vs Netherlands preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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