France vs Iraq Prediction, Preview and Stats

2026 World Cup, World
Philadelphia Stadium Mon, 22 Jun - 9:00 PM
World Cup
France FRA
3 Winner 0
Iraq IRQ
Full Time Mon, 22 Jun 9:00 PM
Round 2 Group Stage
Kylian Mbappé - 54', 14'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

France claimed a 3-0 win against Iraq after taking a 1-0 lead into halftime. The home side controlled 56 percent of possession while limiting the visitors to 44 percent. Expected goals finished at 0.32 for France and 0.17 for Iraq, producing a differential of 0.15. No red cards were issued to either team during the contest. France entered as the stronger side and delivered the expected result without notable interruptions. The moderate structural deviation of 12.7 percent was recorded for the home team. Clinical finishing allowed France to convert limited opportunities into three goals while maintaining a clean sheet throughout the match.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: France 3-0 Iraq. France showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the 0.15 expected goals differential.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: France posted 0.32 expected goals against Iraq's 0.17.
  • Event impact: No disruptive events altered the match beyond the three goals scored.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion affected team dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Fischer

Canada 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

M. Barwegen

1st Assistant

Canada

L. Arfa

2nd Assistant

Canada

S. Schärer

4th Official

Switzerland

League averages

World Cup Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 12.03
Yellow cards / match 1.36
Red cards / match 0.11
Penalties / match 0.09
France D. Deschamps
D. Deschamps
VS
Iraq G. Arnold
G. Arnold
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Senegal Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Norway Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home France
87.27%
Draw
8.78%
Away Iraq
3.95%

Movement

Changes since opening
France
-10.53%
Draw
+6.86%
Iraq
+3.67%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
81.48
26.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
France
Iraq
Power Score
81.48
26.67
League Position
2
4
Global Rank
1
57

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
France — Opponent-weighted form score
Iraq — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) France Iraq

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

France

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Iraq

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

France ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Iraq
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
16.90
6.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
6.55
16.90
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
France +0.93 Efficiency Index
vs
Iraq -0.93 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
France
Iraq
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

France
vs
Iraq
Created Set-piece attacking threat
France Iraq
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
France Iraq
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
0%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs +0.00
France
Iraq
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
France
vs
Iraq
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
France Iraq
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
France 0.13
Iraq 0.13
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
France Iraq
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
France 0.00
Iraq 0.02
France
Iraq
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FRA had peak pressure around 64'.
  • FRA started the game with stronger pressure.
FRA Pressure IRQ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FRA reached the top pressure at 64' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

France FRA Home
0 matches
Iraq IRQ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-23T00:00:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
A. Fadhil
Iraq
22 A. Fadhil
M. Doski
Iraq
23 M. Doski
A. Rahman
Iraq
5 A. Rahman
Z. Hantoosh
Substitution
Iraq
4 Z. Hantoosh
H. Ali
Iraq
3 H. Ali
A. Al-Ammari
Substitution
Iraq
16 A. Al-Ammari
I. Bayesh
Substitution
Iraq
8 I. Bayesh
Z. Iqbal
Iraq
14 Z. Iqbal
Z. Al Dulaimi
Substitution
Iraq
24 Z. Al Dulaimi
A. Qasem
Iraq
11 A. Qasem
A. Hussein
Substitution
Iraq
18 (C) A. Hussein

General Information

Date & Time :
Jun 22, 2026, 09:00 PM
Competition :
2026 World Cup, World · Round 2 · Group Stage
Stadium :
Philadelphia Stadium
Capacity :
69176
Attendance :
68324
Pitch Surface :
N/A
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Drew Fischer
Michael Barwegen
Lyes Arfa
Sandro Schärer

Statistics

Possession
FRA
56%
IRQ
44%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 1
14 Shots 4
99 Dangerous attacks 29
56 Possession 44
4 Corners 2
4 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

34 Ball Safe 49
4 Goal Kicks 14
5 Goal Attempts 1
5 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 15
1 Hit Woodwork 0
9 Successful Headers 8
3 Assists 0
20 Dribble Attempts 11
10 Successful Dribbles 6
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55

Attacking

122 Attacks 93
4 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

30 Long Passes 51
602 Passes 483
539 Successful Passes 414
90 Successful Passes Percentage 86
12 Key Passes 4
16 Successful Long Passes 21
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

0 Saves 2
14 Tackles 18
5 Interceptions 11
37 Duels Won 40

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 9
2 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
8 Fouls 4

Lineup

Referee : Drew Fischer

Starting XI ▼

16
Mike Maignan
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper
6.59
3
Lucas Digne
Lucas Digne Defender
6.44
4
Dayot Upamecano
Dayot Upamecano Defender
6.81
5
Jules Koundé
Jules Koundé Defender
6.56
2
Malo Gusto
Malo Gusto
Defender83'
17
William Saliba
William Saliba Defender
6.87
6
Manu Koné
Manu Koné Midfielder
6.78
7
Ousmane Dembélé
Ousmane Dembélé Midfielder
6.47
20
Désiré Doué
Désiré Doué
Attacker68'
11
Michael Olise
Michael Olise Midfielder
6.91
24
Rayan Cherki
Rayan Cherki
Midfielder68'
12
Bradley Barcola
Bradley Barcola Midfielder
6.65
25
Maghnes Akliouche
Maghnes Akliouche
Midfielder83'
14
Adrien Rabiot
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder
6.72
10
Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé (C) Attacker
2
7.56
9
Marcus Thuram
Marcus Thuram
Attacker90+1'
Referee : Drew Fischer

Starting XI ▼

22
Ahmed Basil Fadhil
Ahmed Basil Fadhil Goalkeeper
6.48
3
Hussein Ali
Hussein Ali Defender
6.45
4
Zaid Tahseen
Zaid Tahseen Defender
6.44
2
Rebin Sulaka
Rebin Sulaka
Defender60'
5
Akam Hashem
Akam Hashem Defender
6.84
23
Merchas Doski
Merchas Doski Defender
6.76
8
Ibrahim Bayesh
Ibrahim Bayesh Midfielder
6.17
21
Marko Farji
Marko Farji
Midfielder69'
11
Ahmed Qasem
Ahmed Qasem Midfielder
6.32
14
Zidane Iqbal
Zidane Iqbal Midfielder
6.82
16
Amir Al-Ammari
Amir Al-Ammari Midfielder
6.7
20
Aimar Sher
Aimar Sher
Midfielder68'
24
Zaid Ismail
Zaid Ismail Midfielder
6.67
7
Youssef Amyn
Youssef Amyn
Attacker60'
18
Aymen Hussein
Aymen Hussein (C) Attacker
6.49
9
Ali Al-Hamadi
Ali Al-Hamadi
Attacker26'
6.84

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Marcus Thuram → Kylian Mbappé
10th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Maghnes Akliouche → Bradley Barcola
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Malo Gusto → Jules Koundé
9th Substitution
83'
69'
Event
Marko Farji → Ibrahim Bayesh
7th Substitution
Event
Rayan Cherki → Michael Olise
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Désiré Doué → Ousmane Dembélé
5th Substitution
68'
68'
Event
Aimar Sher → Amir Al-Ammari
6th Substitution
Event
Ousmane Dembélé
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
66'
60'
Event
Youssef Amyn  → Zaid Ismail
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Rebin Sulaka → Zaid Tahseen
3rd Substitution
Event
Kylian Mbappé
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
54'
1ST-HALF
26'
Event
Ali Al-Hamadi → Aymen Hussein
1st Substitution
Event
Kylian Mbappé
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
14'
6'
Event
Amir Al-Ammari
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Mbappé (France) misses an attempt with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to France after Akam Hashim concedes.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for France: Marcus Thuram comes on for Kylian Mbappé.
88
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Kylian Mbappé's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved.
85
Update Update
Foul committed by Malo Gusto of France.
85
Update Update
Marko Farji from Iraq is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for France: Maghnes Akliouche comes on for Bradley Barcola.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for France: Malo Gusto comes on for Jules Koundé.
82
Update Update
Kylian Mbappé is caught offside for France.
82
Corner Corner
France wins a corner after Akam Hashim concedes.
80
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Kylian Mbappé (France) had a right-footed shot from the left side of the box.
76
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Ali Al Hamadi from Iraq, who took a right-footed shot from very close range.
74
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Rebin Sulaka from Iraq had a right-footed shot from the left side of the box after a corner.
73
Corner Corner
Iraq is awarded a corner after a concession by Bradley Barcola.
69
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Iraq: Marko Farji comes on for Ibrahim Bayesh.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Iraq: Aimar Sher comes on for Amir Al Ammari.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for France: Rayan Cherki comes on for Michael Olise.
68
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for France: Désiré Doué comes on for Ousmane Dembélé.
66
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! France leads 3-0 against Iraq. Ousmane Dembélé scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
66
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Ousmane Dembélé (France) takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box that goes close but misses to the right after a corner.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to France after Ibrahim Bayesh concedes.
66
Update Update
William Saliba's header from the center of the box is blocked. Lucas Digne provided the cross.
65
Corner Corner
France wins a corner after Amir Al Ammari concedes.
65
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Ousmane Dembélé's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked, with an assist from Jules Koundé.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Dayot Upamecano of France.
63
Update Update
Ali Al Hamadi from Iraq wins a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Michael Olise from France wins a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by Merchas Doski of Iraq.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by Kylian Mbappé (France).
62
Update Update
Zidane Iqbal from Iraq wins a free kick in the defensive half.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Iraq: Youssef Amyn comes on for Zaid Ismael.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Iraq: Rebin Sulaka comes on for Zaid Tahseen.
59
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Adrien Rabiot's header from the left side of the six-yard box goes wide to the left.
59
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Ousmane Dembélé's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the top center of the goal by Ahmed Basil. The assist came from Michael Olise.
58
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Michael Olise from France, who took a left-footed shot from the right side of the box.
57
Update Update
Jules Koundé wins a free kick for France in the defensive half.
57
Update Update
Ibrahim Bayesh commits a foul for Iraq.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kylian Mbappé scores for France with a right-footed shot from the center of the box. The score is now France 2, Iraq 0.
53
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Bradley Barcola from France, who headed the ball from the center of the box.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at France 1, Iraq 0.
45
Update Update
Manu Koné commits a foul for France.
45
Update Update
Ali Al Hamadi from Iraq is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 3 minutes of added time.
42
Update Update
Adrien Rabiot commits a foul for France.
42
Update Update
Ali Al Hamadi from Iraq wins a free kick in the attacking half.
42
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Digne of France.
42
Update Update
Ahmed Qasem from Iraq is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
41
Update Update
Manu Koné from France is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
41
Update Update
Foul committed by Zidane Iqbal of Iraq.
40
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Mbappé (France) misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from over 35 yards.
32
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Mbappé's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Ousmane Dembélé.
30
Corner Corner
Iraq wins a corner after Lucas Digne concedes.
28
Update Update
VAR decision: the previous decision has been cancelled.
27
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Ali Al Hamadi from Iraq has a left-footed shot from outside the box that is blocked. He was assisted by Ahmed Qasem.
27
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ali Al Hamadi (Iraq) heads the ball from the right side of the six-yard box, but it goes to the right. He was assisted by Merchas Doski's cross.
26
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Iraq: Ali Al Hamadi comes on for Aymen Hussein due to an injury.
26
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
23
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
18
Attempt Attempt
Michael Olise's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Kylian Mbappé provided the assist.
18
Update Update
Merchas Doski from Iraq is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Michael Olise's left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box is blocked.
14
Attempt Attempt
Goal! France leads 1-0 against Iraq. Kylian Mbappé scores for France with a left-footed shot from outside the box.
8
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Mbappé (France) misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box.
8
Attempt Attempt
Michael Olise's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
7
Corner Corner
France wins a corner after Zaid Tahseen concedes.
6
Update Update
Kylian Mbappé wins a free kick for France in the attacking half.
6
Update Update
Amir Al Ammari of Iraq commits a foul.
6
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Amir Al Ammari of Iraq receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
3
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Amir Al Ammari.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Drew Fischer.
1
Attempt Attempt
Manu Kone takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

France completed a straightforward 3-0 victory over Iraq that reflected their status as the stronger side. The halftime score of 1-0 set the platform for two additional second-half goals. Possession and chance creation metrics showed France holding a clear but not overwhelming edge. The absence of red cards allowed both teams to maintain their intended structures for the full duration. Clinical conversion of opportunities proved the decisive factor in extending the lead after the interval. Iraq created few openings and were unable to challenge the home defense effectively. Overall the performance delivered the anticipated outcome in line with underlying data.

France vs Iraq preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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