Ecuador vs Curacao Prediction, Preview and Stats
World Cup
Curacao
CUW
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Ecuador hosted Curacao in a match that ended 0-0 with both teams level at halftime. Ecuador dominated possession at 75 percent and created an expected goals figure of 3.22 against Curacao's 0.49. The visitors were identified as the stronger side entering the fixture yet could not capitalize on any openings. Ecuador pressed forward consistently but failed to convert their opportunities into goals. The game remained scoreless throughout despite the clear territorial and chance creation imbalance. No disciplinary actions disrupted proceedings as both teams completed the contest with full complements. The result represented a moderate deviation of 10.4 percent from anticipated patterns with Curacao as the referenced side.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: A moderate 10.4 percent deviation occurred with Curacao as the referenced side.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with established patterns for both teams.
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xG alignment: The 0-0 outcome proved inconsistent with the 2.73 expected goals differential.
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Market alignment: The final result aligned with market expectations.
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xG expectations: Ecuador posted 3.22 expected goals while Curacao recorded 0.49.
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Event impact: No notable events altered the flow of the 0-0 draw.
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Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown so no distortion affected the match.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
N. Ma
Other match officials
F. Zhou
1st Assistant
S. Ahmed Saoud
2nd Assistant
C. Kawana-Waugh
4th Official
League averages
World Cup Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Ecuador
Curacao
Movement
Changes since opening
Ecuador
Curacao
Team Power Ranking
i
35.18
38.89
Ecuador
Curacao
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Ecuador
Curacao
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Ecuador
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency



Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.








Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.














PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- ECU had peak pressure around 70'.
- ECU started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.








Data last updated: 2026-06-22T00:00:21+00:00
STARTING XI


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General Information
Next Match


Ecuador
vs
Germany
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Thu, 25 Jun - 8:00 PM
Venue: New York New Jersey Stadium
Curacao
vs
Côte d'Ivoire
League: World Cup
Kickoff: Thu, 25 Jun - 8:00 PM
Venue: Philadelphia Stadium
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Curacao
Manager ▼


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Events
CONCLUSION
Ecuador vs Curacao preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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