Spain vs Saudi Arabia Prediction, Preview and Stats

2026 World Cup, World
Atlanta Stadium Sun, 21 Jun - 4:00 PM
World Cup
Spain ESP
4 Winner 0
Saudi Arabia KSA
Full Time Sun, 21 Jun 4:00 PM
Round 2 Group Stage
Hassan Tambakti - 49' (Own Goal)
Mikel Oyarzabal - 24', 21'
Lamine Yamal - 10'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Spain defeated Saudi Arabia 4-0 with a 3-0 halftime lead. Spain held 67 percent possession and created 2.42 expected goals against Saudi Arabia's 0.11. The stronger team delivered a result consistent with underlying metrics and a moderate 14.1 percent deviation. No red cards were issued to either side. Saudi Arabia generated minimal attacking threat across both halves. Spain added one second half goal to complete the scoring. The outcome confirmed the pre-match assessment of team strength without structural interruptions.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Spain recorded a moderate 14.1 percent deviation as the stronger team.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match team profiles.
  • xG alignment: The 4-0 result proved consistent with the expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: The final score aligned with available market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Spain posted 2.42 xG while Saudi Arabia finished with 0.11 xG.
  • Event impact: Spain's 4-0 victory confirmed control from the opening half.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to either team during the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

R. Claus

Brazil 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

D. Simon Manis

1st Assistant

Brazil

R. Henrique Correa

2nd Assistant

Brazil

A. Rojas Noguera

4th Official

Colombia

League averages

World Cup Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 11.56
Yellow cards / match 1.29
Red cards / match 0.11
Penalties / match 0.08
Spain L. De la Fuente Castillo
L. De la Fuente Castillo
VS
Saudi Arabia G. Donis
G. Donis
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cape Verde Islands Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Uruguay Rank: D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Spain
85.9%
Draw
9.16%
Away Saudi Arabia
4.94%

Movement

Changes since opening
Spain
-11.23%
Draw
+7.26%
Saudi Arabia
+3.98%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18.52
15.55
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Spain
Saudi Arabia
Power Score
18.52
15.55
League Position
1
3
Global Rank
2
61

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Spain — Opponent-weighted form score
Saudi Arabia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Spain Saudi Arabia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Spain

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Saudi Arabia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Spain ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Saudi Arabia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.18
12.73
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.73
39.18
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Spain +2.38 Efficiency Index
vs
Saudi Arabia -2.38 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Spain
Saudi Arabia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Spain
vs
Saudi Arabia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Spain Saudi Arabia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
19%
54%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.45 vs -0.06
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Spain Saudi Arabia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
54%
19%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.06 vs -0.45
Spain
Saudi Arabia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Spain
vs
Saudi Arabia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Spain Saudi Arabia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Spain 0.26
Saudi Arabia 0.13
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Spain Saudi Arabia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Spain 0.00
Saudi Arabia 0.05
Spain
Saudi Arabia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ESP had peak pressure around 43'.
  • ESP started the game with stronger pressure.
ESP Pressure KSA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ESP reached the top pressure at 43' (98.98).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Spain ESP Home
1 matches
Saudi Arabia KSA Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-06-22T00:00:26+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
U. Simón Mendibil
Spain
23 U. Simón Mendibil
P. Porro Sauceda
Spain
12 P. Porro Sauceda
P. Cubarsí Paredes
Spain
22 P. Cubarsí Paredes
A. Laporte
Spain
14 A. Laporte
M. Cucurella
Spain
24 M. Cucurella
D. Olmo Carvajal
Substitution
Spain
10 D. Olmo Carvajal
Rodri
Spain
16 (C) Rodri
P. López
Substitution
Spain
20 P. López
L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
Substitution
Spain
19 L. Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
M. Oyarzabal Ugarte
Substitution
Spain
21 M. Oyarzabal Ugarte
A. Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
15 A. Rodríguez
Pitch
M. Al Owais
Saudi Arabia
21 M. Al Owais
Moteb Al-Harbi
Saudi Arabia
24 Moteb Al-Harbi
H. Al Tambakti
Saudi Arabia
5 H. Al Tambakti
A. Lajami
Saudi Arabia
3 A. Lajami
A. Al Amri
Substitution
Saudi Arabia
4 A. Al Amri
S. Abdul Hamid
Saudi Arabia
12 S. Abdul Hamid
S. Al Dawsari
Saudi Arabia
10 (C) S. Al Dawsari
N. Al Dawsari
Substitution
Saudi Arabia
6 N. Al Dawsari
A. Alkhaibari
Substitution
Saudi Arabia
15 A. Alkhaibari
M. Aljuwayr
Substitution
Saudi Arabia
7 M. Aljuwayr
F. Albirakan
Substitution
Saudi Arabia
9 F. Albirakan

General Information

Date & Time :
Jun 21, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition :
2026 World Cup, World · Round 2 · Group Stage
Stadium :
Atlanta Stadium
Capacity :
71000
Attendance :
68239
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Raphael Claus
Danilo Ricardo Simon Manis
Rodrigo Figueiredo Henrique Correa
Andrés José Rojas Noguera

Statistics

Possession
ESP
65%
KSA
35%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 0
12 Shots 1
85 Dangerous attacks 24
67 Possession 33
6 Corners 1
5 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Goal Kicks 16
5 Substitutions 5
16 Throwins 15
1 Hit Woodwork 0
11 Successful Headers 3
3 Assists 0
14 Dribble Attempts 12
6 Successful Dribbles 8
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67

Attacking

158 Attacks 77
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

37 Long Passes 35
725 Passes 364
668 Successful Passes 292
92 Successful Passes Percentage 80
27 Successful Long Passes 14
73 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40

Defensive

1 Saves 5
9 Tackles 15
16 Interceptions 12
27 Duels Won 37

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 5
7 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
10 Fouls 2

Lineup

Referee : Raphael Claus

Starting XI ▼

23
Unai Simón
Unai Simón Goalkeeper
7.05
12
Pedro Porro
Pedro Porro Defender
8.31
14
Aymeric Laporte
Aymeric Laporte Defender
7.57
22
Pau Cubarsí
Pau Cubarsí Defender
7.53
24
Marc Cucurella
Marc Cucurella Defender
7.06
10
Dani Olmo
Dani Olmo Midfielder
7.2
6
Mikel Merino
Mikel Merino
Midfielder61'
6.66
16
Rodri
Rodri (C) Midfielder
7.72
20
Pedri
Pedri Midfielder
6.93
8
Fabián Ruiz
Fabián Ruiz
Midfielder70'
6.81
15
Álex Baena
Álex Baena Attacker
6.94
17
Nico Williams
Nico Williams
Attacker61'
6.32
19
Lamine Yamal
Lamine Yamal Attacker
8.24
11
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino
Midfielder46'
6.24
21
Mikel Oyarzabal
Mikel Oyarzabal Attacker
2
9.45
7
Ferran Torres
Ferran Torres
Attacker46'
6.43
Referee : Raphael Claus

Starting XI ▼

21
Mohammed Al-Owais
Mohammed Al-Owais Goalkeeper
6.42
3
Ali bin Mohammed bin Ali Lajami
Ali bin Mohammed bin Ali Lajami Defender
6.47
4
Abdulelah Al-Amri
Abdulelah Al-Amri Defender
5.99
18
Alaa Hejji
Alaa Hejji
Midfielder60'
6.65
5
Hassan Tambakti
Hassan Tambakti Defender
5.94
12
Saud Abdulhamid
Saud Abdulhamid Defender
6.36
24
Moteb Al-Harbi
Moteb Al-Harbi Defender
5.85
6
Nasser Al-Dawsari
Nasser Al-Dawsari Midfielder
6.53
17
Khalid Al-Ghannam
Khalid Al-Ghannam
Attacker90'
6.5
7
Musab Al-Juwayr
Musab Al-Juwayr Midfielder
6.27
19
Abdullah Al-Hamdan
Abdullah Al-Hamdan
Attacker46'
6.75
10
Salem Al-Dawsari
Salem Al-Dawsari (C) Midfielder
6.34
15
Abdullah Al-Khaibari
Abdullah Al-Khaibari Midfielder
6.25
23
Mohamed Kanno
Mohamed Kanno
Midfielder46'
6.4
9
Firas Al-Buraikan
Firas Al-Buraikan Attacker
6.41
26
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat
Midfielder60'
6.85

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ferran Torres
Goal disallowed
90+5'
90'
Event
Khalid Al-Ghannam → Nasser Al-Dawsari
10th Substitution
Event
Fabián Ruiz → Pedri
9th Substitution
70'
Event
Mikel Merino → Dani Olmo
7th Substitution
61'
Event
Nico Williams → Álex Baena
8th Substitution
61'
60'
Event
Alaa Hejji → Abdulelah Al-Amri
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat → Firas Al-Buraikan
6th Substitution
60'
Event
Mohamed Kanno
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Hassan Tambakti
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
49'
Event
Yéremy Pino → Lamine Yamal
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Ferran Torres → Mikel Oyarzabal
4th Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Abdullah Al-Hamdan → Musab Al-Juwayr
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Mohamed Kanno → Abdullah Al-Khaibari
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
30'
Event
Salem Al-Dawsari
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Mikel Oyarzabal
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
24'
Event
Mikel Oyarzabal
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
21'
Event
Lamine Yamal
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
10'

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Saudi Arabia: Khalid Al Ghannam comes on for Nasser Al Dawsari.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Goal! Ferran Torres scores for Spain with a left-footed shot from very close range. The score is now Spain 5, Saudi Arabia 0.
90
Update Update
VAR is checking the goal scored by Ferran Torres for Spain.
90
Update Update
VAR is checking the goal scored by Ferran Torres for Spain.
90
Attempt Attempt
Mikel Merino's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked, with an assist from Fabián Ruiz.
89
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
87
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Mohamed Kanno from Saudi Arabia.
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Aymeric Laporte of Spain.
84
Update Update
Salem Al Dawsari from Saudi Arabia is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
83
Update Update
Marc Cucurella commits a foul for Spain.
83
Update Update
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat from Saudi Arabia is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
82
Update Update
Yéremy Pino commits a foul for Spain.
82
Update Update
Hassan Al Tambakti of Saudi Arabia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
81
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Abdullah Al Hamddan from Saudi Arabia has a left-footed shot from outside the box that is saved.
70
Update Update
Delay over. They are ready to continue.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Spain: Fabián Ruiz comes on for Pedri.
68
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
68
Update Update
Rodri is caught offside for Spain.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Spain after a concession by Ali Lajami.
65
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Ferran Torres, who had a right-footed shot from the center of the box for Spain.
62
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
62
Update Update
Moteb Al Harbi from Saudi Arabia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Ferran Torres commits a foul for Spain.
62
Update Update
Ali Lajami from Saudi Arabia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by Yéremy Pino of Spain.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Spain: Nico Williams comes on for Álex Baena.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Spain: Mikel Merino comes on for Dani Olmo.
60
Update Update
Rodri wins a free kick for Spain in the defensive half.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Mohamed Kanno of Saudi Arabia.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Saudi Arabia: Alaa Al Hejji comes on for Abdulelah Al Amri.
60
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Rodri from Spain.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mohamed Kanno of Saudi Arabia receives a yellow card for a foul.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Saudi Arabia: Mohammed Abu Al Shamat comes on for Feras Al Brikan.
54
Update Update
Foul committed by Pedro Porro of Spain.
54
Update Update
Salem Al Dawsari from Saudi Arabia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
53
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Pedro Porro's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved.
53
Update Update
Marc Cucurella commits a foul for Spain.
53
Update Update
Feras Al Brikan from Saudi Arabia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
53
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Ferran Torres's header from the center of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Mohammed Al Owais.
49
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Marc Cucurella's left-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box is saved.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Hassan Al Tambakti for Saudi Arabia. The score is now Spain 4, Saudi Arabia 0.
48
Corner Corner
Spain wins a corner after Saud Abdulhamid concedes.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Spain: Yéremy Pino comes on for Lamine Yamal.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Spain: Ferran Torres comes on for Mikel Oyarzabal.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Saudi Arabia: Abdullah Al Hamddan comes on for Musab Al Juwayr.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Saudi Arabia: Mohamed Kanno comes on for Abdullah Al Khaibari.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at Spain 3, Saudi Arabia 0.
46
Update Update
Salem Al Dawsari of Saudi Arabia is caught offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Rodri takes a left-footed shot from outside the box for Spain.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of added time.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Spain after a concession by Saud Abdulhamid.
45
Update Update
Offside called against Saudi Arabia. Musab Al Juwayr is caught offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Salem Al Dawsari from Saudi Arabia has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it is blocked.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Mikel Oyarzabal of Spain.
45
Update Update
Salem Al Dawsari from Saudi Arabia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Saudi Arabia after Pau Cubarsí concedes.
42
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Mikel Oyarzabal from Spain, who took a left-footed shot from the center of the box.
41
Update Update
Dani Olmo commits a foul for Spain.
41
Update Update
Nasser Al Dawsari from Saudi Arabia is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
37
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Yamal's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
37
Update Update
Offside called against Saudi Arabia. Musab Al Juwayr is caught offside.
36
Attempt Attempt
Mikel Oyarzabal from Spain hits the bar with a left-footed shot from a tough angle and long range on the left.
36
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Yamal's left-footed shot from outside the box for Spain is blocked.
35
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Abdulelah Al Amri (Saudi Arabia) takes a right-footed shot from over 35 yards but misses to the left. Musab Al Juwayr provided the assist after a fast break.
30
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
30
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Lamine Yamal (Spain) takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes high and wide to the left. Pedro Porro provided the assist.
28
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
25
Update Update
Dani Olmo from Spain misses a header from the center of the box, just to the right, after an assist from Marc Cucurella.
24
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mikel Oyarzabal scores for Spain with a left-footed shot from very close range. The score is now Spain 3, Saudi Arabia 0.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Spain leads 2-0 against Saudi Arabia. Mikel Oyarzabal scores for Spain with a left-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box after a corner.
21
Corner Corner
Dani Olmo (Spain) misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box after a corner.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Spain after a concession by Ali Lajami.
17
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Mikel Oyarzabal's right-footed shot from outside the box is saved.
16
Update Update
Álex Baena commits a foul for Spain.
16
Update Update
Musab Al Juwayr from Saudi Arabia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
15
Attempt Attempt
Álex Baena from Spain misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
13
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Pedri from Spain, who took a left-footed shot from the center of the box.
10
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Pedro Porro from Spain, who took a right-footed shot from outside the box.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Spain leads 1-0 against Saudi Arabia as Lamine Yamal scores with a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box.
9
Update Update
Feras Al Brikan from Saudi Arabia commits a handball.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Corner Corner
Dani Olmo from Spain misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the right. The shot was assisted by Álex Baena after a corner.
4
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Yamal takes a left-footed shot but misses.
2
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alejandro Baena Rodriguez with his right foot is blocked.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Raphael Claus.

CONCLUSION

Spain completed a controlled 4-0 win that matched the expected goals differential of 2.31. Possession dominance at 67 percent translated directly into sustained pressure and four goals. Saudi Arabia remained limited to 0.11 xG and produced no meaningful responses after the early deficit. The absence of red cards preserved full team structures for both sides throughout the ninety minutes. Second half adjustments added one further goal without altering the established pattern. The moderate deviation observed did not change the overall assessment of team superiority. Spain's performance reflected consistent execution aligned with pre-match expectations.

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