United States vs Paraguay Prediction, Preview and Stats

2026 World Cup, World
Los Angeles Stadium Sat, 13 Jun - 1:00 AM
World Cup
United States USA
4 Winner 1
Paraguay PAR
Full Time Sat, 13 Jun 1:00 AM
Round 1 Group Stage
Giovanni Reyna - 90+8'
Folarin Balogun - 45+5', 31'
Damián Bobadilla - 7' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal
Mauricio - 73'

CONTEXT

The United States defeated Paraguay 4-1 with a halftime score of 3-0. The home team controlled 65 percent possession while limiting the visitors to 35 percent. Expected goals stood at 1.76 for the United States and 0.48 for Paraguay producing a differential of 1.28. The stronger team prevailed and the outcome proved consistent with pre-match projections. No red cards occurred and the result showed no structural distortions from disciplinary events. The performance reflected clear superiority in both phases of play for the victors throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The United States recorded a significant structural deviation of 53.4 percent from pre-match projections.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expected patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The match outcome aligned with the expected goals metrics recorded during play.
  • Market alignment: The result proved consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals projected a United States advantage with a 1.28 differential.
  • Event impact: The halftime lead of 3-0 shaped second half adjustments and final margin.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in zero distortion to team structures.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Makkelie

Curaçao 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

H. Steegstra

1st Assistant

Netherlands

J. de Vries

2nd Assistant

Netherlands

Y. Araki

4th Official

Japan

League averages

World Cup Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 4.32
Yellow cards / match 0.59
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.03
United States M. Pochettino Trossero
M. Pochettino Trossero
VS
Paraguay G. Alfaro
G. Alfaro
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home United States
46.61%
Draw
28.75%
Away Paraguay
24.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
United States
-51.25%
Draw
+26.83%
Paraguay
+24.42%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
66.67
33.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
United States
Paraguay
Power Score
66.67
33.33
League Position
1
4
Global Rank
-
40

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
United States — Opponent-weighted form score
Paraguay — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) United States Paraguay

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

United States

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Paraguay

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

United States ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Paraguay
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.69
28.86
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.86
31.69
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
United States +0.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Paraguay -0.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
United States
Paraguay
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

United States
vs
Paraguay
Created Set-piece attacking threat
United States Paraguay
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
4%
36%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.06 vs -0.17
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
United States Paraguay
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
36%
4%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.17 vs -0.06
United States
Paraguay
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
United States
vs
Paraguay
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
United States Paraguay
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
United States 0.17
Paraguay 0.41
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
United States Paraguay
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
United States 0.05
Paraguay 0.04
United States
Paraguay
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • USA had peak pressure around 39'.
  • USA started the game with stronger pressure.
USA Pressure PAR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: USA reached the top pressure at 39' (98.43).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

United States USA Home
0 matches
Paraguay PAR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-14T00:00:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
F. Matthew
United States
24 F. Matthew
A. Freeman
United States
16 A. Freeman
C. Richards
United States
3 C. Richards
T. Ream
United States
13 (C) T. Ream
A. Robinson
United States
5 A. Robinson
T. Adams
United States
4 T. Adams
M. Tillman
Substitution
United States
17 M. Tillman
S. Dest
Substitution
United States
2 S. Dest
W. McKennie
United States
8 W. McKennie
C. Pulisic
Substitution
United States
10 C. Pulisic
F. Balogun
Substitution
United States
20 F. Balogun

General Information

Date & Time :
Jun 13, 2026, 01:00 AM
Competition :
2026 World Cup, World · Round 1 · Group Stage
Stadium :
Los Angeles Stadium
Capacity :
70242
Attendance :
70492
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Danny Desmond Makkelie
Hessel Steegstra
Jan de Vries
Yusuke Araki

Statistics

Possession
USA
63%
PAR
37%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 1
10 Shots 8
92 Dangerous attacks 22
65 Possession 35
3 Corners 1
18 Free kicks 17
1 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

67 Ball Safe 64
3 Goal Kicks 7
11 Goal Attempts 4
4 Substitutions 7
23 Throwins 17
18 Successful Headers 16
3 Assists 1
3 Injuries 2
34 Dribble Attempts 8
20 Successful Dribbles 6
59 Successful Dribbles Percentage 75

Attacking

158 Attacks 58
2 Big Chances Missed 0
2 Counter Attacks 1

Possession

50 Long Passes 58
598 Passes 320
510 Successful Passes 230
85 Successful Passes Percentage 72
12 Key Passes 7
28 Successful Long Passes 18
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31

Defensive

1 Saves 3
7 Tackles 22
11 Interceptions 9
60 Duels Won 54

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 5
3 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

2 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Danny Desmond Makkelie

Starting XI ▼

24
Matt Freese
Matt Freese Goalkeeper
6.22
3
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
6.93
5
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Defender
6.92
13
Tim Ream
Tim Ream (C) Defender
7.3
16
Alex Freeman
Alex Freeman Defender
6.95
2
Sergiño Dest
Sergiño Dest Midfielder
6.67
21
Timothy Weah
Timothy Weah
Attacker72'
6.56
4
Tyler Adams
Tyler Adams Midfielder
7.14
8
Weston McKennie
Weston McKennie Midfielder
7.08
10
Christian Pulisic
Christian Pulisic Midfielder
7.46
14
Sebastian Berhalter
Sebastian Berhalter
Midfielder46'
6.66
17
Malik Tillman
Malik Tillman Midfielder
7.22
7
Giovanni Reyna
Giovanni Reyna
Midfielder82'
7.33
20
Folarin Balogun
Folarin Balogun Attacker
2
8.14
9
Ricardo Pepi
Ricardo Pepi
Attacker72'
6.7
Referee : Danny Desmond Makkelie

Starting XI ▼

12
Orlando Gill
Orlando Gill Goalkeeper
6.02
3
Omar Alderete
Omar Alderete Defender
6.02
4
Juan José Cáceres
Juan José Cáceres Defender
6.22
2
Gustavo Velázquez
Gustavo Velázquez
Defender79'
6.19
6
Júnior Alonso
Júnior Alonso Defender
5.89
15
Gustavo Gómez
Gustavo Gómez (C) Defender
6.01
8
Diego Gómez
Diego Gómez Midfielder
6.6
17
Kaku
Kaku
Midfielder80'
6.41
10
Miguel Almirón
Miguel Almirón Midfielder
6.7
7
Ramón Sosa
Ramón Sosa
Attacker79'
6.53
14
Andrés Cubas
Andrés Cubas Midfielder
6.59
16
Damián Bobadilla
Damián Bobadilla Midfielder
5.91
11
Mauricio
Mauricio
Midfielder46'
7.31
9
Antonio Sanabria
Antonio Sanabria Attacker
6.35
18
Álex Arce
Álex Arce
Attacker62'
6.46
19
Julio Enciso
Julio Enciso Attacker
7.28

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Giovanni Reyna
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
90+8'
90+3'
Event
Júnior Alonso
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Álex Arce 
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Giovanni Reyna → Malik Tillman
9th Substitution
82'
80'
Event
Kaku → Diego Gómez
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Ramón Sosa → Miguel Almirón
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Gustavo Velázquez → Juan José Cáceres
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Diego Gómez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
73'
Event
Mauricio
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Ricardo Pepi → Folarin Balogun
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Timothy Weah → Sergiño Dest
5th Substitution
72'
62'
Event
Álex Arce  → Antonio Sanabria
3rd Substitution
Event
Tyler Adams
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
59'
53'
Event
Miguel Almirón
Simulation / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Tim Ream
Yellow card cancelled
50'
Event
Sebastian Berhalter → Christian Pulisic
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Mauricio → Damián Bobadilla
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Folarin Balogun
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
45+5'
Event
Folarin Balogun
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
31'
Event
Folarin Balogun
Offside / Goal Disallowed
28'
10'
Event
Juan José Cáceres
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Damián Bobadilla
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
7'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Sebastian Berhalter (USA) takes a right-footed shot from over 35 yards, but it goes to the right.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 7 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Andrés Cubas commits a foul for Paraguay.
90
Update Update
Giovanni Reyna wins a free kick for the USA on the left wing.
90
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Andrés Cubas from Paraguay.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Júnior Alonso from Paraguay receives a yellow card for a foul.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Júnior Alonso of Paraguay.
90
Update Update
Tyler Adams wins a free kick for the USA in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Sebastian Berhalter from the USA wins a free kick in the attacking half.
90
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Alejandro Romero of Paraguay.
90
Attempt Attempt
Timothy Weah's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Tyler Adams.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Giovanni Reyna scores for the USA with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom left corner, assisted by Alex Freeman. The score is now USA 4, Paraguay 1.
89
Update Update
Júnior Alonso wins a free kick for Paraguay on the left wing.
89
Update Update
Timothy Weah commits a foul for the USA.
89
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Ricardo Pepi (USA) shoots with his left foot from the center of the box, but it's too high. He was assisted by Weston McKennie.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Álex Arce from Paraguay receives a yellow card for a foul.
88
Update Update
Álex Arce commits a foul for Paraguay.
88
Update Update
Giovanni Reyna (USA) is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Omar Alderete of Paraguay.
86
Update Update
Tyler Adams from the USA is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
86
Update Update
Ramón Sosa from Paraguay is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
86
Update Update
Foul committed by Ricardo Pepi (USA).
84
Update Update
Foul committed by Giovanni Reyna (USA).
84
Update Update
Alejandro Romero from Paraguay is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
83
Update Update
Gustavo Gómez of Paraguay is caught offside.
83
Update Update
Julio Enciso from Paraguay wins a free kick on the left wing.
83
Update Update
Timothy Weah commits a foul for the USA.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the USA: Giovanni Reyna comes on for Malik Tillman.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paraguay: Alejandro Romero comes on for Diego Gómez.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paraguay: Gustavo Velázquez comes on for Juan José Cáceres.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paraguay: Ramón Sosa comes on for Miguel Almirón.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Diego Gómez from Paraguay receives a yellow card for a foul.
79
Update Update
Diego Gómez commits a foul for Paraguay.
79
Update Update
Malik Tillman wins a free kick for the USA in the attacking half.
77
Update Update
Timothy Weah from the USA misses an attempt, shooting high and wide to the left from the right side of the box. Malik Tillman provided the assist.
77
Update Update
Andrés Cubas from Paraguay commits a foul.
77
Update Update
Malik Tillman wins a free kick for the USA in the defensive half.
75
Corner Corner
Malik Tillman's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Orlando Gill. The attempt was assisted by Ricardo Pepi.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paraguay scores with Mauricio's left-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom right corner, assisted by Julio Enciso after a set piece. The score is now USA 3, Paraguay 1.
73
Update Update
Juan José Cáceres from Paraguay wins a free kick in the defensive half.
73
Update Update
Foul committed by Antonee Robinson (USA).
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the USA: Timothy Weah comes on for Sergiño Dest.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the USA: Ricardo Pepi comes on for Folarin Balogun.
72
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
71
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Folarin Balogun from the USA.
71
Update Update
Foul committed by Juan José Cáceres of Paraguay.
71
Update Update
Malik Tillman (USA) is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
71
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Almirón's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Omar Alderete with a headed pass.
71
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
68
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
65
Attempt Attempt
Diego Gómez from Paraguay misses the attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it high and wide to the right. He was assisted by Álex Arce.
65
Attempt Attempt
Julio Enciso's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Júnior Alonso.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paraguay: Álex Arce comes on for Antonio Sanabria.
61
Attempt Attempt
Malik Tillman from the USA misses a right-footed shot from the center of the box, sending it to the right.
60
Update Update
Julio Enciso of Paraguay wins a free kick in the defensive half.
60
Update Update
Foul committed by Alex Freeman (USA).
59
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tyler Adams from the USA receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
59
Update Update
Mauricio from Paraguay wins a free kick in the defensive half.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by Tyler Adams (USA).
59
Corner Corner
USA wins a corner after Júnior Alonso concedes.
58
Update Update
Julio Enciso of Paraguay is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
58
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Richards (USA).
57
Attempt Attempt
Malik Tillman's right-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. Weston McKennie provided the assist.
56
Update Update
Andrés Cubas commits a foul for Paraguay.
56
Update Update
Tyler Adams from the USA is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Miguel Almirón of Paraguay receives a yellow card.
52
Update Update
VAR decision: the card has been changed.
52
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
51
Update Update
Delay in the match as VAR is checking.
50
Update Update
Miguel Almirón from Paraguay has fallen, but the referee considers it a simulation.
50
Attempt Attempt
Diego Gómez's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Miguel Almirón.
49
Corner Corner
Paraguay wins a corner after Tim Ream concedes.
49
Attempt Attempt
Diego Gómez's right-footed shot from the right side of the box for Paraguay is blocked.
48
Update Update
Gustavo Gómez commits a foul for Paraguay.
48
Update Update
Folarin Balogun from the USA is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
48
Attempt Attempt
Miguel Almirón's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
47
Attempt Attempt
Folarin Balogun's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. Antonee Robinson provided the assist.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paraguay: Mauricio comes on for Damián Bobadilla.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at USA 3, Paraguay 0.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for the USA: Sebastian Berhalter comes on for Christian Pulisic.
45
Update Update
Antonio Sanabria from Paraguay wins a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Richards (USA).
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Malik Tillman (USA).
45
Update Update
Miguel Almirón wins a free kick for Paraguay on the left wing.
45
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! USA 3, Paraguay 0. Folarin Balogun scores for the USA with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the top left corner, assisted by Malik Tillman.
43
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Malik Tillman's right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box is saved in the center of the goal by Orlando Gill.
42
Update Update
Juan José Cáceres from Paraguay is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
42
Update Update
Foul committed by Christian Pulisic (USA).
40
Update Update
Andrés Cubas commits a foul for Paraguay.
40
Update Update
Folarin Balogun from the USA is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
39
Update Update
Foul committed by Antonio Sanabria of Paraguay.
39
Update Update
Chris Richards from the USA is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
38
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Chris Richards' header from the center of the box is close but goes to the right. Malik Tillman assisted with a cross after a corner.
37
Attempt Attempt
Malik Tillman's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the USA after a concession by Andrés Cubas.
35
Update Update
Folarin Balogun (USA) misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the right. Christian Pulisic provided the cross.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! USA lead 2-0 against Paraguay. Folarin Balogun scores for the USA with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the bottom right corner, assisted by Christian Pulisic.
28
Update Update
Offside called against the USA. Folarin Balogun is caught offside.
28
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
24
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Juan José Cáceres of Paraguay.
20
Update Update
Folarin Balogun (USA) is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
19
Update Update
Delay is over. The teams are ready to continue.
17
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Omar Alderete from Paraguay.
17
Update Update
Omar Alderete from Paraguay is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
17
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Richards (USA).
17
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Chris Richards from the USA.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to the USA after Damián Bobadilla concedes.
14
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Julio Enciso (Paraguay) shoots with his right foot from outside the box, but it goes to the left. He was assisted by Miguel Almirón, who provided a headed pass.
13
Update Update
Delay in the match (USA).
13
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
12
Update Update
Malik Tillman wins a free kick for the USA in the attacking half.
12
Update Update
Andrés Cubas commits a foul for Paraguay.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Juan José Cáceres from Paraguay receives a yellow card for a foul.
9
Update Update
Foul committed by Juan José Cáceres of Paraguay.
9
Update Update
Christian Pulisic from the USA is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
9
Update Update
Foul committed by Gustavo Gómez of Paraguay.
9
Update Update
Folarin Balogun (USA) is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
7
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Damián Bobadilla gives the USA a 1-0 lead over Paraguay.
3
Update Update
Offside for the USA. Folarin Balogun is caught offside.
3
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Folarin Balogun's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the center of the goal by Orlando Gill. The shot was assisted by Weston McKennie with a headed pass.
2
Attempt Attempt
Diego Gómez from Paraguay misses an attempt with a left-footed shot from a tough angle on the left, sending it just a bit too high. He was assisted by Antonio Sanabria.
1
Update Update
First half begins.
1
Update Update
Julio Enciso wins a free kick for Paraguay in the defensive half.
1
Update Update
Foul committed by Tyler Adams (USA).

CONCLUSION

The United States completed a controlled 4-1 win over Paraguay that matched underlying metrics. Possession dominance and a 3-0 halftime advantage allowed the home side to manage the game without major adjustments. Expected goals of 1.76 to 0.48 supported the observed territorial and scoring edge. The absence of red cards preserved full team structures for both sides. Alignment across performance indicators confirmed the stronger team executed its plan effectively. Paraguay created limited chances and finished with lower output in key areas.

United States vs Paraguay preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.