Racing Santander vs Cádiz Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero Sun, 31 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Racing Santander RAC
4 Winner 1
Cádiz CAD
Full Time Sun, 31 May 4:30 PM
Round 42 Regular Season
Iñigo Vicente - 73'
Juan Carlos Arana - 34', 29'
Peio Canales - 14'
Goal
|
Goal
Álex Fernández - 57'

CONTEXT

Racing Santander secured a convincing 4-1 victory over Cádiz at home. The hosts established a commanding 3-0 lead by halftime and added one more goal after the break while conceding a single reply. Possession favored the visitors slightly at 52 percent against 48 percent yet Racing Santander converted opportunities efficiently to claim the points. As the designated stronger side the home team delivered a performance consistent with expectations and finished as clear winners. The absence of any red cards ensured uninterrupted flow allowing both teams to showcase their styles without numerical disadvantage. This result reinforced Racing Santander's position through structured play and timely finishing.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Racing Santander recorded a minimal 5.9 percent deviation from anticipated levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable preventing any alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The 4-1 outcome proved aligned with market projections.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were supplied within the match data.
  • Event impact: A three goal halftime advantage shaped the decisive 4-1 final scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were shown leaving the result free of numerical distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Morilla Turrión

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Herrera Ruiz

2nd Assistant

Spain

A. Gutiérrez Martino

1st Assistant

Spain

?. Juncal Moreira

4th Official

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 24.77
Yellow cards / match 5.13
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.32
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
VS
Cádiz J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
J. Idiakez Barkaiztegui
1.88
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.76
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Málaga Rank: D
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Leganés Rank: W
Huesca Rank: W
Ceuta Rank: D
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: W
Castellón Rank: D
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: L
Cultural Leonesa Rank: D
Las Palmas Rank: L
Sporting Gijón Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Racing Santander
94.06%
Draw
4.52%
Away Cádiz
1.42%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
35.73
15.2
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Racing Santander
Cádiz
Power Score
35.73
15.2
League Position
1
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Cádiz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Racing Santander Cádiz

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Racing Santander

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cádiz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cádiz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
48.65
25.87
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.87
48.65
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Racing Santander +2.28 Efficiency Index
vs
Cádiz -2.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Racing Santander
Cádiz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cádiz
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Racing Santander Cádiz
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Racing Santander Cádiz
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Racing Santander
Cádiz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Racing Santander
vs
Cádiz
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Racing Santander Cádiz
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Racing Santander 0.45
Cádiz 0.41
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Racing Santander Cádiz
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Racing Santander 0.03
Cádiz 0.09
Racing Santander
Cádiz
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RAC had peak pressure around 38'.
  • RAC started the game with stronger pressure.
RAC Pressure CAD Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RAC reached the top pressure at 38' (81.03).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Racing Santander RAC Home
7 matches
Cádiz CAD Away
Match Record
2
Wins
4
1
Draws
1
4
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
8
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-06-01T00:02:07+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
Spain
1 J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
M. Sangalli Fuentes
Substitution
Spain
15 M. Sangalli Fuentes
A. Mantilla Pérez
Spain
2 A. Mantilla Pérez
J. Castro Urdín
Spain
5 J. Castro Urdín
M. García Alvear
Spain
3 M. García Alvear
Í. Sainz Maza Serna
Substitution
Spain
6 (C) Í. Sainz Maza Serna
A. Aldasoro Sarriegi
Substitution
Spain
8 A. Aldasoro Sarriegi
A. Martín García
Spain
11 A. Martín García
P. Canales Urtasun
Substitution
Spain
18 P. Canales Urtasun
I. Vicente Elorduy
Spain
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
J. Arana Gómez
Substitution
Spain
9 J. Arana Gómez
Pitch
D. Gil Mohedano
Spain
1 D. Gil Mohedano
S. Arribas Prieto
Spain
38 S. Arribas Prieto
I. Ortega
Spain
6 I. Ortega
P. Fernández Balboa
Substitution
Spain
27 P. Fernández Balboa
J. Díaz Peregrina
34 J. Díaz Peregrina
A. Fernández Iglesias
Substitution
Spain
8 (C) A. Fernández Iglesias
S. Ortuño Díaz
Substitution
Spain
15 S. Ortuño Díaz
Antonio Cordero
16 Antonio Cordero
Y. Diarra
Mali
18 Y. Diarra
J. de la Rosa
Substitution
Spain
19 J. de la Rosa
J. Domina
Substitution
Argentina
37 J. Domina

General Information

Date & Time :
May 31, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 42 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Capacity :
22308
Attendance :
22394
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Manuel Herrera Ruiz
Alejandro Morilla Turrión
Alaiz Gutiérrez Martino
Álvaro Juncal Moreira

Statistics

Possession
RAC
49%
CAD
51%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
7 Big Chances Created 2
8 Shots 3
47 Dangerous attacks 29
48 Possession 52
3 Corners 3
8 Free kicks 10

Match Overview

3 Assists 0
20 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
15 Dribble Attempts 9
10 Throwins 12
3 Successful Dribbles 6
14 Goal Attempts 10
69 Ball Safe 91
5 Substitutions 5
9 Goal Kicks 8

Attacking

4 Big Chances Missed 1
89 Attacks 76

Possession

19 Successful Long Passes 23
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
19 Key Passes 7
30 Long Passes 55
410 Successful Passes 434
474 Passes 505
86 Successful Passes Percentage 86

Defensive

11 Tackles 15
29 Duels Won 34
8 Interceptions 10
2 Saves 4

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 3
10 Total Crosses 12

Discipline

10 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Alejandro Morilla Turrión

Starting XI ▼

1
Jokin Ezkieta
Jokin Ezkieta Goalkeeper
6.57
2
Álvaro Mantilla
Álvaro Mantilla Defender
6.77
3
Mario García
Mario García Defender
6.99
5
Javi Castro
Javi Castro Defender
6.64
15
Marco Sangalli
Marco Sangalli Defender
6.58
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas
Defender81'
6.42
6
Íñigo Sainz-Maza
Íñigo Sainz-Maza (C) Midfielder
6.91
20
Suleiman Camara
Suleiman Camara
Attacker53'
6.46
8
Aritz Aldasoro
Aritz Aldasoro Midfielder
6.91
36
Sergio Martínez
Sergio Martínez
Midfielder81'
6.52
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Midfielder
8.54
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Midfielder
6.51
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Midfielder
8.8
44
Diego Fuentes
Diego Fuentes
Midfielder87'
6.73
9
Juan Carlos Arana
Juan Carlos Arana Attacker
2
9.03
17
Jaime Mata
Jaime Mata
Attacker53'
6.33
Referee : Alejandro Morilla Turrión

Starting XI ▼

1
David Gil
David Gil Goalkeeper
6.31
6
Iker Recio
Iker Recio Defender
5.85
27
Pelayo Fernández
Pelayo Fernández Defender
6.44
2
Jorge Moreno
Jorge Moreno
Defender88'
34
Juan Díaz
Juan Díaz Defender
6.54
38
Sergio Arribas
Sergio Arribas Defender
6.44
8
Álex Fernández
Álex Fernández (C) Midfielder
7.4
5
Moussa Diakité
Moussa Diakité
Midfielder83'
6.39
15
Sergio Ortuño
Sergio Ortuño Midfielder
5.97
17
Dawda Camara
Dawda Camara
Attacker46'
6.89
16
Antoñito Cordero
Antoñito Cordero Midfielder
6.62
18
Yussi Diarra
Yussi Diarra Midfielder
6.41
19
José Antonio de la Rosa
José Antonio de la Rosa Midfielder
6.78
39
Pablo Arana
Pablo Arana
Attacker88'
37
Jerónimo Dómina
Jerónimo Dómina Attacker
6.36
23
García Pascual
García Pascual
Attacker46'
7.42

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Jorge Moreno → Pelayo Fernández
10th Substitution
88'
Event
Pablo Arana → José Antonio de la Rosa
9th Substitution
Event
Diego Fuentes → Peio Canales
8th Substitution
87'
83'
Event
Moussa Diakité → Álex Fernández
7th Substitution
Event
Jorge Salinas → Marco Sangalli
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Sergio Martínez → Aritz Aldasoro
5th Substitution
81'
Event
Iñigo Vicente
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
73'
57'
Event
Álex Fernández
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Suleiman Camara → Íñigo Sainz-Maza
3rd Substitution
53'
Event
Jaime Mata → Juan Carlos Arana
4th Substitution
53'
46'
Event
García Pascual → Jerónimo Dómina
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Dawda Camara → Sergio Ortuño
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Juan Carlos Arana
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
34'
Event
Juan Carlos Arana
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
29'
Event
Peio Canales
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
14'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Suleiman Camara takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Dawda Camara Sankhare's header shot misses.
89
Attempt Attempt
Jaime Mata takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
88
Update Update
Jorge Moreno comes on, replacing Pelayo Fernandez.
88
Update Update
Pablo Arana comes on for Jose Antonio de la Rosa.
87
Update Update
Maguette Gueye is on, and Peio Canales is off.
85
Attempt Attempt
Suleiman Camara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
85
Attempt Attempt
Suleiman Camara takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
83
Update Update
Moussa Diakite comes on for Alejandro Fernandez Iglesias.
81
Update Update
Sergio Martinez comes on for Aritz Aldasoro.
81
Update Update
Jorge Salinas replaces Marco Sangalli Fuentes.
78
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
74
Attempt Attempt
Dawda Camara Sankhare takes a left-footed shot but misses.
73
Attempt Attempt
Inigo Vicente scores with a right-footed shot.
71
Attempt Attempt
Dawda Camara Sankhare takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Inigo Vicente takes a right-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Inigo Vicente takes a right-footed shot but misses.
62
Attempt Attempt
Dawda Camara Sankhare takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Alejandro Fernandez Iglesias with his right foot, but it's blocked.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alejandro Fernandez Iglesias scores, making it 3-1.
55
Attempt Attempt
Alvaro Pascual's right-footed shot is saved.
55
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Cordero takes a right-footed shot but misses.
53
Update Update
Jaime Mata comes on for Juan Carlos Arana.
53
Update Update
Suleiman Camara is on, and Inigo Sainz-Maza is off.
52
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Juan Carlos Arana takes a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Attempt Attempt
Juan Carlos Arana's left-footed shot is blocked.
46
Update Update
Alvaro Pascual comes on for Jeronimo Domina.
46
Update Update
Dawda Camara Sankhare is on, and Sergio Ortuno is off.
46
Attempt Attempt
Jose Antonio de la Rosa takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Youssouf Diarra takes a right-footed shot but misses.
40
Attempt Attempt
Aritz Aldasoro takes a left-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Aritz Aldasoro's header is saved.
36
Attempt Attempt
Mario Garcia takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Juan Carlos Arana scores with a left-footed shot.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Juan Carlos Arana scores, making it 2-0.
29
Attempt Attempt
Juan Carlos Arana scores with a right-footed shot.
28
Attempt Attempt
Antonio Cordero takes a right-footed shot but misses.
27
Attempt Attempt
Jeronimo Domina takes a right-footed shot but misses.
14
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Peio Canales scores to make it 1-0.
14
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales scores with a left-footed shot.
14
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales scores with a left-footed shot.
11
Update Update
Alvaro Mantilla's header is blocked.
10
Attempt Attempt
Mario Garcia takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
7
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Racing Santander 4-1 Cádiz. Structural assessment: Racing Santander exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Racing Santander vs Cádiz preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.