Brøndby IF vs FC København Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Brøndby Stadion Thu, 21 May - 4:30 PM
Superliga
Brøndby IF BIF
1 Winner 3
FC København COP
Full Time: After Extra Time Thu, 21 May 4:30 PM
Final
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen - 80'
Goal
|
Goal
Youssoufa Moukoko - 120+3', 103'
Aurélio Buta - 77'
Mayckel Lahdo 67' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

Brøndby IF faced FC København in a match that concluded with a 1-3 scoreline after a goalless first half. The home side held 31 percent possession while the visitors controlled 69 percent. A red card issued to Brøndby IF altered the second half proceedings and contributed to the final outcome. FC København as the stronger team secured the victory. The significant deviation of 94.5 percent aligned with the away side's performance. Efficiency metrics remained in line with expectations for the dominant team. Second half adjustments centered on the red card distortion that reshaped team structures. The result reflected the away team's ability to capitalize on numerical advantage and territorial control throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Brøndby IF 1-3 FC København. FC København showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with the stronger team's overall control.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: The final result was not aligned with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remained undetermined because of missing underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: The red card produced a clear event impact on second half dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion drove the listed second half adjustments for both sides.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Krogh

Denmark 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Bramsen

1st Assistant

Denmark

J. Dahl

2nd Assistant

Denmark

J. A. Sundberg

4th Official

Denmark

League averages

Superliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 23.25
Yellow cards / match 3.51
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.26
Brøndby IF S. Cooper
S. Cooper
VS
FC København B. Svensson
B. Svensson
0.82
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.53
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Midtjylland Rank: 79 W
AGF Rank: 71 L
Nordsjælland Rank: 66 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 61 L
Viborg FF Rank: 63 W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 61 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Randers FC Rank: 58 W
Silkeborg IF Rank: 61 W
Fredericia Rank: 52 D
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 52 W
Odense BK Rank: 58 W
Vejle Boldklub Rank: 52 W
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 19 - 35
35

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Brøndby IF
2.75%
Draw
91.74%
Away FC København
5.5%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.86
71.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brøndby IF
FC København
Power Score
65.86
71.09
League Position
4
7
Global Rank
309
180

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Brøndby IF — Opponent-weighted form score
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Brøndby IF FC København

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Brøndby IF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC København

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Brøndby IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC København
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.23
37.10
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.10
38.23
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Brøndby IF +0.11 Efficiency Index
vs
FC København -0.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Brøndby IF
FC København
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Brøndby IF ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC København
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Brøndby IF FC København
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Brøndby IF FC København
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Brøndby IF
FC København
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Brøndby IF
vs
FC København
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Brøndby IF FC København
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Brøndby IF 0.27
FC København 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Brøndby IF FC København
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Brøndby IF 0.04
FC København 0.03
Brøndby IF
FC København
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COP had peak pressure around 106'.
  • BIF started the game with stronger pressure.
BIF Pressure COP Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: COP reached the top pressure at 106' (91.93).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 71 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Brøndby IF BIF Home
71 matches
FC København COP Away
Match Record
17
Wins
35
19
Draws
19
35
Losses
17
Goals
64
Goals Scored
102
102
Goals Conceded
64
-38
Goal Difference
+38

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:02:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
P. Pentz
Austria
1 P. Pentz
O. Villadsen
Substitution
Denmark
2 O. Villadsen
B. Godfrey
England
14 B. Godfrey
L. Binks
England
4 L. Binks
M. Divković
Croatia
24 M. Divković
B. Slisz
Poland
99 B. Slisz
D. Wass
Substitution
Denmark
10 D. Wass
M. Lahdo
Sweden
23 M. Lahdo
M. Frøkjær-Jensen
Substitution
Denmark
29 M. Frøkjær-Jensen
N. Vallys
Substitution
Denmark
7 N. Vallys
J. Brøchner Ambæk
Substitution
38 J. Brøchner Ambæk
Pitch
D. Kotarski
Croatia
1 D. Kotarski
M. López Lanfranco
Substitution
Peru
15 M. López Lanfranco
M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
Denmark
25 M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
J. Suzuki
Japan
20 J. Suzuki
A. Ulineia Buta
Substitution
Portugal
17 A. Ulineia Buta
T. Delaney
Substitution
Denmark
27 T. Delaney
M. Madsen
Denmark
21 M. Madsen
M. Elyounoussi
Norway
10 M. Elyounoussi
V. Claesson
Substitution
Sweden
7 V. Claesson
J. Larsson
Sweden
11 J. Larsson
V. Dadason
Substitution
Iceland
39 V. Dadason

General Information

Date & Time :
May 21, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Final
Stadium :
Brøndby Stadion
Capacity :
29000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Steffen Beck Bramsen
Jesper Dahl
Jakob A. Sundberg
Morten Krogh

Statistics

Possession
BIF
35%
COP
65%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 8
37 Dangerous attacks 72
31 Possession 69
8 Corners 9
15 Free kicks 22
1 Yellow Cards 9
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

25 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46
20 Dribble Attempts 13
15 Goal Kicks 11
16 Throwins 34
1 Injuries 2
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Successful Dribbles 6
5 Substitutions 5
81 Ball Safe 91
6 Goal Attempts 12

Attacking

82 Attacks 101
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

286 Passes 663
7 Key Passes 17
67 Successful Passes Percentage 83
72 Long Passes 66
19 Successful Long Passes 35
191 Successful Passes 551
26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53

Defensive

28 Interceptions 6
5 Saves 2
19 Tackles 22

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 24
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

22 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Morten Krogh

Starting XI ▼

1
Patrick Pentz
Patrick Pentz Goalkeeper
2
Oliver Villadsen
Oliver Villadsen Defender
22
Ousmane Sow
Ousmane Sow
Midfielder106'
4
Luis Binks
Luis Binks Defender
14
Ben Godfrey
Ben Godfrey Defender
24
Marko Divkovic
Marko Divkovic Defender
7
Nicolai Vallys
Nicolai Vallys Midfielder
19
Sho Fukuda
Sho Fukuda
Attacker61'
10
Daniel Wass
Daniel Wass Midfielder
37
Raphael Canut Pedersen
Raphael Canut Pedersen
Defender72'
23
Mayckel Lahdo
Mayckel Lahdo Midfielder
29
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen Midfielder
30
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Defender96'
99
Bartosz Slisz
Bartosz Slisz Midfielder
38
Jacob Ambaek
Jacob Ambaek Attacker
11
Filip Bundgaard
Filip Bundgaard
Attacker71'
Referee : Morten Krogh

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Kotarski
Dominik Kotarski Goalkeeper
15
Marcos López
Marcos López Defender
24
Birger Meling
Birger Meling
Defender74'
17
Aurélio Buta
Aurélio Buta Defender
5
Gabriel Pereira
Gabriel Pereira
Defender119'
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Defender
25
Zanka
Zanka Defender
7
Viktor Claesson
Viktor Claesson Midfielder
9
Youssoufa Moukoko
Youssoufa Moukoko
Attacker74'
2
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Mohamed Elyounoussi Midfielder
11
Jordan Larsson
Jordan Larsson Midfielder
21
M. Madsen
M. Madsen Midfielder
27
Thomas Delaney
Thomas Delaney Midfielder
36
William Clem
William Clem
Midfielder86'
39
Viktor Bjarki Dadason
Viktor Bjarki Dadason Attacker
30
Elias Achouri
Elias Achouri
Midfielder37'

Events

2ND-HALF
120+4'
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko
9th Yellowcard
120+4'
Event
Gabriel Pereira
10th Yellowcard
120+3'
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
120'
Event
Dominik Kotarski
Time wasting / 8th Yellowcard
119'
Event
Gabriel Pereira → Aurélio Buta
10th Substitution
118'
Event
Aurélio Buta
Time wasting / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Jordi Vanlerberghe
Var
116'
Event
Bartosz Slisz
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
110'
Event
Ousmane Sow → Oliver Villadsen
9th Substitution
106'
103'
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
100'
Event
Jordan Larsson
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Jordi Vanlerberghe → Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
8th Substitution
96'
90+1'
Event
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
86'
Event
William Clem → Thomas Delaney
7th Substitution
Event
Mads Frøkjaer-Jensen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
80'
77'
Event
Aurélio Buta
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
74'
Event
Youssoufa Moukoko → Viktor Claesson
6th Substitution
74'
Event
Birger Meling → Marcos López
5th Substitution
Event
Raphael Canut Pedersen → Daniel Wass
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Filip Bundgaard → Jacob Ambaek
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
Mayckel Lahdo
Foul / 1st Redcard
67'
Event
Mayckel Lahdo
Card adjusted
66'
Event
Sho Fukuda → Nicolai Vallys
2nd Substitution
61'
57'
Event
Bo Svensson
Argument / 12th Yellowcard
56'
Event
Zanka
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
55'
Event
Marcos López
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Steve Cooper
Argument / 11th Yellowcard
51'
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Viktor Claesson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
37'
Event
Elias Achouri → Viktor Bjarki Dadason
1st Substitution

Match Commentary

120
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Youssoufa Moukoko receives a yellow card.
120
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gabriel Pereira receives a yellow card.
120
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dominik Kotarski receives a yellow card.
120
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Youssoufa Moukoko scores, making it 1-3, assisted by Mohamed Elias Achouri.
119
Update Update
Gabriel Pereira comes on for Aurelio Buta.
118
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Aurelio Buta receives a yellow card.
110
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bartosz Slisz receives a yellow card.
110
Attempt Attempt
Jordan Larsson's left-footed shot is blocked.
108
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Elias Achouri takes a left-footed shot but misses.
106
Update Update
Ousmane Sow is on, and Oliver Rose-Villadsen is off.
103
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Youssoufa Moukoko scores, making it 1-2.
103
Attempt Attempt
Youssoufa Moukoko scores with a left-footed shot.
98
Attempt Attempt
William Clem takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
96
Update Update
Jordi Vanlerberghe comes on for Mads Frokjaer.
95
Attempt Attempt
Youssoufa Moukoko's left-footed shot is blocked.
92
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Mohamed Elias Achouri with his right foot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Elyounoussi takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Junnosuke Suzuki's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Jordan Larsson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
William Clem takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Youssoufa Moukoko takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Mohamed Elias Achouri with his right foot, but it's saved.
87
Attempt Attempt
Youssoufa Moukoko takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Update Update
William Clem is on, and Thomas Delaney is off.
85
Attempt Attempt
Youssoufa Moukoko takes a left-footed shot but misses.
82
Attempt Attempt
Sho Fukuda takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Mads Frokjaer scores with a right-footed shot.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mads Frokjaer scores, making it 1-1.
77
Attempt Attempt
Aurelio Buta takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
75
Update Update
Birger Meling is on, and Marcos Johan Lopez Lanfranco is off.
75
Update Update
Youssoufa Moukoko comes on for Viktor Claesson.
74
Attempt Attempt
Viktor Claesson attempts a header but misses the shot.
72
Update Update
Raphael Canut comes on for Daniel Wass.
71
Update Update
Filip Bundgaard Kristensen comes on for Jacob Ambaek.
66
Update Update
VAR decision results in a change of card for Mayckel Lahdo.
61
Update Update
Sho Fukuda replaces Nicolai Vallys.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mathias Zanka Jorgensen receives a yellow card.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Marcos Johan Lopez Lanfranco receives a yellow card.
54
Attempt Attempt
Mads Emil Madsen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Mayckel Lahdo takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Mayckel Lahdo takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
45
Attempt Attempt
Mayckel Lahdo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
37
Update Update
Mohamed Elias Achouri comes on for Viktor Dadason.
31
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Mohamed Elyounoussi with his right foot is saved.
29
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Wass takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Attempt Attempt
Mayckel Lahdo's right-footed shot is blocked.
26
Attempt Attempt
Mayckel Lahdo has a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Delaney takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Marcos Johan Lopez Lanfranco takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Jacob Ambaek takes a left-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Wass takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
8
Attempt Attempt
Daniel Wass takes a right-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Morten Krogh.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Brøndby IF 1-3 FC København. Structural assessment: FC København exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Brøndby IF vs FC København preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.