Bologna vs Inter Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Serie A
Inter
INT
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
In a captivating Serie A clash, Bologna hosted Inter and the two teams shared the spoils in a 3-3 draw. The hosts established a 2-1 halftime advantage through determined play. However, the second half saw Inter equalize and push for victory only to be denied. Possession statistics showed Inter with 55 percent compared to 45 percent for Bologna. Despite being labeled the stronger team, Inter settled for a point on the road. The encounter was marked by fluid transitions and clinical finishing from both attacks. Pre-match expectations faced a significant deviation particularly concerning the away side. Overall the result reflected the high level of competition in the league.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Bologna 3-3 Inter. Inter showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with established patterns throughout the contest.
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xG alignment: Expected goals metrics were unavailable preventing alignment assessment.
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Market alignment: The draw outcome did not align with market projections favoring the away side.
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xG expectations: No expected goals data was recorded to evaluate performance expectations.
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Event impact: Key events led to a high-scoring draw despite the halftime lead.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred resulting in zero distortion to team structures.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
K. Bonacina
Other match officials
Gilberto Laghezza
1st Assistant
A. Zezza
2nd Assistant
M. Marcenaro
4th Official
League averages
Serie A Based on last 100 matches
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Bologna
Inter
Movement
Changes since opening
Bologna
Inter
Team Power Ranking
i
79.85
91.43
Bologna
Inter
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Bologna
Inter
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Bologna
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- BOL had peak pressure around 43'.
- BOL started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-05-24T00:03:33+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Events
CONCLUSION
Bologna vs Inter preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Match Commentary