Polissya Zhytomyr vs Rukh Vynnyky Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Tsentralnyi Stadion Sun, 24 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr
2 Winner 0
Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky
Full Time Sun, 24 May 10:00 AM
Round 30 Regular Season
Eduard Sarapiy - 82'
Oleksandr Filippov - 27'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Polissya Zhytomyr defeated Rukh Vynnyky by a score of 2-0 in their recent encounter. The home team took the lead before halftime with the score at 1-0. They maintained their advantage in the second half by scoring an additional goal. Possession statistics indicated that Polissya Zhytomyr held 53 percent of the ball while Rukh Vynnyky had 47 percent. Neither side received any red cards during the match, allowing for a full complement of players on the field at all times. The stronger team emerged victorious in line with expectations. The game proceeded without major disruptions or unexpected events that could have altered the outcome significantly. Overall, the result reflected the relative strengths of the two sides.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match showed minimal deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency was in line with the stronger team's performance.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was not available for alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were provided in the data.
  • Event impact: The first half goal set the tone for the 2-0 victory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued, resulting in no distortion to the game flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

V. Romanov

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Semenov

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

E. Tsybulko

4th Official

Ukraine

D. Zaporozhenko

1st Assistant

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.49
Yellow cards / match 3.56
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.27
Polissya Zhytomyr R. Rotan
R. Rotan
VS
Rukh Vynnyky I. Fedyk
I. Fedyk
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.69
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 54 D
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 47 L
Oleksandria Rank: 43 W
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 43 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Oleksandria Rank: 42 L
Kudrivka Rank: 41 L
Veres Rank: 48 D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 53 L
Karpaty Rank: 54 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 57 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Polissya Zhytomyr
97.13%
Draw
1.9%
Away Rukh Vynnyky
0.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.04
41.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Polissya Zhytomyr
Rukh Vynnyky
Power Score
62.04
41.24
League Position
3
14
Global Rank
419
969

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Polissya Zhytomyr — Opponent-weighted form score
Rukh Vynnyky — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Polissya Zhytomyr Rukh Vynnyky

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Polissya Zhytomyr

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rukh Vynnyky

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Polissya Zhytomyr ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rukh Vynnyky
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.81
6.91
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
6.91
34.81
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Polissya Zhytomyr +2.83 Efficiency Index
vs
Rukh Vynnyky -2.83 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Polissya Zhytomyr
Rukh Vynnyky
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Polissya Zhytomyr ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rukh Vynnyky
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Polissya Zhytomyr Rukh Vynnyky
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Polissya Zhytomyr Rukh Vynnyky
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Polissya Zhytomyr
Rukh Vynnyky
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Polissya Zhytomyr
vs
Rukh Vynnyky
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Polissya Zhytomyr Rukh Vynnyky
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Polissya Zhytomyr 0.33
Rukh Vynnyky 0.08
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Polissya Zhytomyr Rukh Vynnyky
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Polissya Zhytomyr 0.00
Rukh Vynnyky 0.04
Polissya Zhytomyr
Rukh Vynnyky
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Polissya Zhytomyr had peak pressure around 35'.
  • Rukh Vynnyky started the game with stronger pressure.
Polissya Zhytomyr Pressure Rukh Vynnyky Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Polissya Zhytomyr reached the top pressure at 35' (69.63).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr Home
5 matches
Rukh Vynnyky Rukh Vynnyky Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
2
Draws
2
3
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
2
-3
Goal Difference
+3

Data last updated: 2026-05-25T00:01:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
G. Bushchan
Ukraine
21 G. Bushchan
M. Kravchenko
Substitution
Ukraine
4 M. Kravchenko
I. Krasniqi
Kosovo
16 I. Krasniqi
E. Sarapiy
Ukraine
5 (C) E. Sarapiy
B. Mykhaylichenko
Ukraine
15 B. Mykhaylichenko
O. Nazarenko
Ukraine
7 O. Nazarenko
B. Tomandzoto
Republic of the Congo
29 B. Tomandzoto
O. Andrievsky
Substitution
Ukraine
18 O. Andrievsky
M. Bragaru
Substitution
Ukraine
45 M. Bragaru
O. Filippov
Substitution
Ukraine
9 O. Filippov
M. Gayduchyk
Substitution
Ukraine
89 M. Gayduchyk
Pitch
Y. Klymenko
28 Y. Klymenko
A. Kitela
Substitution
Ukraine
75 A. Kitela
Y. Kopyna
Substitution
Ukraine
23 Y. Kopyna
D. Sliusar
Substitution
Ukraine
17 D. Sliusar
V. Roman
Ukraine
93 V. Roman
D. Pidgurskyi
Ukraine
15 (C) D. Pidgurskyi
B. Almazbekov
Substitution
Kyrgyz Republic
77 B. Almazbekov
T. Brener de Paula
Brazil
30 T. Brener de Paula
O. Prytula
Ukraine
10 O. Prytula
S. Diallo
Substitution
Senegal
14 S. Diallo
I. Neves Alves
Brazil
9 I. Neves Alves

General Information

Date & Time :
May 24, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Capacity :
5928
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Andrii Semenov
Evgen Tsybulko
Dmytro Zaporozhenko
Vitaliy Romanov

Statistics

Possession
Polissya Zhytomyr
58%
Rukh Vynnyky
42%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
7 Shots 0
49 Dangerous attacks 25
53 Possession 47
7 Corners 4
7 Free kicks 5
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
2 Assists 0

Attacking

61 Attacks 59

Defensive

0 Saves 4

Discipline

5 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Vitaliy Romanov

Starting XI ▼

21
Georgiy Bushchan
Georgiy Bushchan Goalkeeper
6.5
4
Mykyta Kravchenko
Mykyta Kravchenko Defender
6.5
31
Giorgi Maisuradze
Giorgi Maisuradze
Defender46'
6.61
5
Eduard Sarapiy
Eduard Sarapiy (C) Defender
6.69
15
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko Defender
6.5
16
Ilir Krasniqi
Ilir Krasniqi Defender
6.5
7
Oleksandr Nazarenko
Oleksandr Nazarenko Midfielder
6.5
18
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
Oleksandr Andriyevskyi Midfielder
6.61
27
Oleg Fedor
Oleg Fedor
Midfielder85'
6.5
29
Borel Tomandzoto
Borel Tomandzoto Midfielder
6.5
45
Maksym Bragaru
Maksym Bragaru Midfielder
6.5
95
Igor Krasnopir
Igor Krasnopir
Attacker60'
6.5
9
Oleksandr Filippov
Oleksandr Filippov Attacker
6.83
14
Lindon Emërllahu
Lindon Emërllahu
Midfielder59'
6.5
89
Mykola Gayduchyk
Mykola Gayduchyk Attacker
6.5
22
Vladyslav Veleten
Vladyslav Veleten
Midfielder77'
6.5
Referee : Vitaliy Romanov

Starting XI ▼

28
Yehor Klymenko
Yehor Klymenko Goalkeeper
5.88
23
Yurii Kopyna
Yurii Kopyna Defender
6.05
37
Ostrov's Illya Ivanovich
Ostrov's Illya Ivanovich
87'
75
Andriy Kitela
Andriy Kitela Defender
6.25
56
Maksym Boyko
Maksym Boyko
Midfielder67'
6.37
93
Vitaliy Roman
Vitaliy Roman Defender
6.05
10
Ostap Prytula
Ostap Prytula Midfielder
6.27
14
Samba Diallo
Samba Diallo Midfielder
6.37
8
Vlad Raileanu
Vlad Raileanu
Midfielder47'
6.33
15
Denys Pidgurskyi
Denys Pidgurskyi (C) Midfielder
6.27
17
Denys Slyusar
Denys Slyusar Midfielder
6.27
—
Denys Slyusar
84'
30
Talles
Talles Midfielder
6.27
77
Beknaz Almazbekov
Beknaz Almazbekov Midfielder
6.37
11
Vasyl Runich
Vasyl Runich
Midfielder47'
6.37
9
Igor Neves
Igor Neves Attacker
6.43

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Ostrov's Illya Ivanovich → Yurii Kopyna
10th Substitution
Event
Oleg Fedor → Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
9th Substitution
85'
84'
Event
Nanashko Maksym Bogdanovych → Denys Slyusar
8th Substitution
Event
Eduard Sarapiy
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
82'
81'
Event
Vlad Raileanu
3rd Yellowcard
Event
Vladyslav Veleten → Mykola Gayduchyk
7th Substitution
77'
67'
Event
Maksym Boyko → Andriy Kitela
6th Substitution
61'
Event
Andriy Kitela
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Igor Krasnopir → Maksym Bragaru
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Lindon Emërllahu → Oleksandr Filippov
4th Substitution
59'
47'
Event
Vasyl Runich → Beknaz Almazbekov
3rd Substitution
47'
Event
Vlad Raileanu → Samba Diallo 
2nd Substitution
Event
Giorgi Maisuradze → Mykyta Kravchenko
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Oleksandr Filippov
1st Yellowcard
28'
Event
Oleksandr Filippov
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
27'

Match Commentary

87
Update Update
Illia Ostrovskyi comes on for Yuri Kopyna.
85
Update Update
Oleh Andriiovych Fedor comes on for Oleksandr Andrievsky.
84
Update Update
Maksym Nanashko comes on for Denis Slyusar.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Eduard Sarapiy scores, making it 2-0.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Vlad Raileanu receives a yellow card.
77
Update Update
Vladyslav Veleten comes on for Mykola Gayduchyk.
67
Update Update
Maksym Boyko is on, and Andriy Kitela is off.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Andriy Kitela receives a yellow card.
60
Update Update
Lindon Emerllahu replaces Oleksandr Filippov.
60
Update Update
Igor Krasnopir comes on for Maksim Bragaru.
46
Update Update
Vlad Raileanu is on, and Samba Diallo is off.
46
Update Update
Vasyl Runich is on, and Beknaz Almazbekov is off.
46
Update Update
Giorgi Maisuradze is on, and Mykyta Kravchenko is off.
27
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Oleksandr Filippov.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Oleksandr Filippov scores, making it 1-0.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Polissya Zhytomyr 2-0 Rukh Vynnyky. Structural assessment: Polissya Zhytomyr exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Polissya Zhytomyr vs Rukh Vynnyky preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Premier League, Ukraine View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Jesper GK

Jesper GK contributes football previews covering key fixtures, league context, team news, and matchday talking points.